
$14.15K
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1 market tracked

No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
![]() | Poly | 89% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This market will resolve to "HMBLE" if HMBLE win against Zena Esports in the named LoL match in the LIT Regular Season, scheduled for January 16 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Zena Esports" if Zena Esports win against HMBLE in the LoL match. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official informati
Prediction markets are pricing in a decisive victory for HMBLE, with the "HMBLE to win" share trading at 88% on Polymarket. This translates to an implied 88% probability of a HMBLE win in this Best-of-1 League of Legends match. A price this high suggests the market views the outcome as very likely, though not a complete certainty. With only about $1,000 in total market volume, liquidity is thin, meaning this price could be more sensitive to new information or larger bets.
The overwhelming confidence in HMBLE is primarily driven by competitive history and perceived skill disparity within the LIT (Liga Italiana) Regular Season. HMBLE is historically one of the region's stronger squads, while Zena Esports has typically occupied a lower tier in the standings. Recent match performances leading into this fixture likely reinforce this narrative, with HMBLE demonstrating more cohesive team play and strategic depth. In a volatile Best-of-1 format, the market is still heavily weighting fundamental team strength over the potential for a single-game upset.
Despite the lopsided odds, the Best-of-1 format is a inherent volatility catalyst that could shift prices. A last-minute roster change, such as a key player substitution for either team announced before the January 16 match, would immediately impact the market. Furthermore, any visible shifts in champion select strategy during the match itself could cause live betting swings, especially in a low-liquidity market. The primary risk to the consensus is Zena Esports exploiting the single-game nature of the match with an unconventional or highly practiced composition, turning the market's high confidence into a potential opportunity for contrarian bettors.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
$14.15K
1
1
This prediction market concerns a specific League of Legends (LoL) esports match within the LIT (League of Legends Italian Tournament) Regular Season. The market resolves based on the outcome of a Best-of-One (BO1) match between the professional teams HMBLE and Zena Esports, scheduled for January 16 at 1:00 PM Eastern Time. The LIT is the premier Italian national league for League of Legends, operating under the governance of the Italian Esports Federation (IESF) and Riot Games. This match is a regular season fixture, contributing to the teams' standings as they compete for playoff qualification and a chance to represent Italy in the European Masters tournament. Interest in this market stems from the competitive rivalry within the Italian scene, the strategic importance of BO1 matches in a league format, and the growing ecosystem of esports wagering and prediction markets. Analysts and fans closely monitor these matches for insights into team form, meta adaptations, and regional power dynamics ahead of larger international competitions.
The League of Legends Italian Tournament (LIT) was established in 2019 as the official national league for Italy, replacing previous fragmented competitions. It was created to consolidate the Italian competitive scene under a unified, professional structure that feeds into Riot Games' European Regional Leagues (ERL) system. The 2024 season marks the sixth year of the LIT's operation. Historically, the rivalry between teams like HMBLE and Zena Esports has developed over multiple splits, with matches often influencing playoff seedings. In the 2023 Summer Split, for instance, HMBLE finished in the top four, while Zena Esports contended for a mid-table position. The Best-of-One format for regular season matches, a standard across many ERLs, emphasizes consistent performance and adaptability, as a single loss can significantly impact a team's standing in the league table. Past encounters between these two squads have typically been close, decided by objective control and late-game teamfight execution.
Beyond determining a single match winner, this event is a microcosm of the professionalization and economic growth of esports in Italy. A team's success in the LIT directly impacts its financial stability through prize money, sponsorship attractiveness, and potential revenue from qualifying for the higher-profile European Masters, which offers greater exposure and larger prizes. For players, strong performances are crucial for career advancement, potentially leading to offers from more prominent ERL teams or even top-tier LEC organizations. The match also matters to the broader Italian fanbase and gaming community, fostering local pride and engagement with homegrown talent. The data generated from such matches feeds into a vast ecosystem of analysis, content creation, and the burgeoning prediction market industry, where accurate forecasting requires deep understanding of regional meta and team dynamics.
The LIT 2024 Spring Split regular season is underway. Both HMBLE and Zena Esports have played their initial matches of the season, with results contributing to their early standings. The specific head-to-head match scheduled for January 16 at 1:00 PM ET is a pending fixture on the official league calendar. Team rosters have been finalized for the split, and analysts are evaluating early-game strategies and champion preferences shown in the opening matches. All parties are preparing for this contest under the standard competitive rules set by the IESF and Riot Games.
The LIT (League of Legends Italian Tournament) is the top-tier national professional league for League of Legends in Italy. It is part of Riot Games' European Regional Leagues system and its winner qualifies for the European Masters tournament.
Official broadcasts of LIT matches are typically streamed live on streaming platforms like Twitch and YouTube on channels operated by the Italian Esports Federation or its official broadcast partners. The exact channel is listed on the LIT's official website and social media.
If a match is postponed, it is rescheduled by the league organizers. Prediction markets tied to the match, like this one, typically remain open until the rescheduled game is completed and has an official result.
Official results are verified through the game developer's tournament systems (Riot Games' APIs), official league websites, and press releases from the governing body (IESF). These sources provide the definitive record for match outcomes.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/L_JUHL" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season"></iframe>