Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season
Total Volume
$14.15K
Events
1
Markets
1
LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $14.15K
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $14.15K
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1)
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 89% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
89%
Top Probability
$14.15K
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
This market will resolve to "HMBLE" if HMBLE win against Zena Esports in the named LoL match in the LIT Regular Season, scheduled for January 16 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Zena Esports" if Zena Esports win against HMBLE in the LoL match. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official informati
Current Market Outlook
Prediction markets are pricing in a decisive victory for HMBLE, with the "HMBLE to win" share trading at 88% on Polymarket. This translates to an implied 88% probability of a HMBLE win in this Best-of-1 League of Legends match. A price this high suggests the market views the outcome as very likely, though not a complete certainty. With only about $1,000 in total market volume, liquidity is thin, meaning this price could be more sensitive to new information or larger bets.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The overwhelming confidence in HMBLE is primarily driven by competitive history and perceived skill disparity within the LIT (Liga Italiana) Regular Season. HMBLE is historically one of the region's stronger squads, while Zena Esports has typically occupied a lower tier in the standings. Recent match performances leading into this fixture likely reinforce this narrative, with HMBLE demonstrating more cohesive team play and strategic depth. In a volatile Best-of-1 format, the market is still heavily weighting fundamental team strength over the potential for a single-game upset.
What Could Change These Odds
Despite the lopsided odds, the Best-of-1 format is a inherent volatility catalyst that could shift prices. A last-minute roster change, such as a key player substitution for either team announced before the January 16 match, would immediately impact the market. Furthermore, any visible shifts in champion select strategy during the match itself could cause live betting swings, especially in a low-liquidity market. The primary risk to the consensus is Zena Esports exploiting the single-game nature of the match with an unconventional or highly practiced composition, turning the market's high confidence into a potential opportunity for contrarian bettors.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.