L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism?

Name: L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism?
End: 2026-02-28T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$9.45K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $9.45K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.45K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$9.45K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On January 11, 2026, a U-Haul truck drove into a crowd in Los Angeles, during a demonstration in support of Iranian protestors. ABC7 Los Angeles reported that a man was later pulled out of the truck and taken into police custody. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of the alleged driver of this U-Haul for terrorism, by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 28, 2026 (43 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** On January 11, 2026, a U-Haul truck drove into a crowd in Los Angeles, during a demonstration in support of Iranian protestors. ABC7 Los Angeles reported that a man was later pulled out of the truck and taken into police custody.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of the alleged driver of this U-Haul for terrorism, by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"On January 11, 2026, a U-Haul truck drove into a crowd in Los Angeles, during a demonstration in support of Iranian protestors. ABC7 Los Angeles reported that a man was later pulled out of the truck and taken into police custody.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdictio"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.5K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.70)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 28, 2026): Vol $9.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

42d 12h remaining

Feb 28, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

3¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism?

L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism?

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L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)