Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot Winner

Total Volume

$329.34

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot Winner

Vol

$329.34

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $329.34

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $329.34

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

24 markets tracked

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Magnus Carlsen wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(24)

Market	Platform	Price
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Magnus Carlsen wins	Kalshi	56%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Fabiano Caruana wins	Kalshi	14%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Alireza Firouzja wins	Kalshi	6%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Wesley So wins	Kalshi	5%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Nodirbek Abdusattorov wins	Kalshi	5%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Arjun Erigaisi wins	Kalshi	4%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Vaishali Rameshbabu wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Vincent Keymer wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Vladislav Artemiev wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Shakhriyar Mamedyarov wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Richard Rapport wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Maxime Vachier-Lagrave wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Liem Le wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Levon Aronian wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Jorden van Foreest wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Jan-Krzysztof Duda wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Ian Nepomniachtchi wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Hans Moke Niemann wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Haik M. Martirosyan wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Bibisara Assaubayeva wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Abhimanyu Mishra wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Andrew Hong wins	Kalshi	3%
2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Anish Giri wins	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$329.34

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot (2026) If X wins the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot originally scheduled from Nov 10, 2026 to Nov 20, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot (2026)

If X wins the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot originally scheduled from Nov 10, 2026 to Nov 20, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Wesley So wins the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot originally scheduled from Nov 10, 2026 to Nov 20, 2026.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associa"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $329
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Wesley So wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Vaishali Rameshbabu wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Vincent Keymer wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Vladislav Artemiev wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Shakhriyar Mamedyarov wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Richard Rapport wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Nodirbek Abdusattorov wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Maxime Vachier-Lagrave wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Magnus Carlsen wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $98
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Liem Le wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Levon Aronian wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Jorden van Foreest wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Jan-Krzysztof Duda wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Ian Nepomniachtchi wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Hans Moke Niemann wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Haik M. Martirosyan wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Fabiano Caruana wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $32
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Bibisara Assaubayeva wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Abhimanyu Mishra wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Andrew Hong wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Anish Giri wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Alireza Firouzja wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Arjun Erigaisi wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 27, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot Winner

Volume$329.34

Markets24

24 of 24

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KALSHI

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Magnus Carlsen wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 56.5¢No 43.5¢

KALSHISports

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Magnus Carlsen wins

If Magnus Carlsen wins the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot originally scheduled from Nov 10, 2026 to Nov 20, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, as

KALSHI

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Fabiano Caruana wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢

KALSHISports

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Fabiano Caruana wins

If Fabiano Caruana wins the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot originally scheduled from Nov 10, 2026 to Nov 20, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, a

KALSHI

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Alireza Firouzja wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHISports

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Alireza Firouzja wins

If Alireza Firouzja wins the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot originally scheduled from Nov 10, 2026 to Nov 20, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated,

KALSHI

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Wesley So wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢

KALSHISports

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Wesley So wins

If Wesley So wins the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot originally scheduled from Nov 10, 2026 to Nov 20, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associa

KALSHI

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Nodirbek Abdusattorov wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHISports

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Nodirbek Abdusattorov wins

If Nodirbek Abdusattorov wins the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the 2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot originally scheduled from Nov 10, 2026 to Nov 20, 2026. Kalshi is not affilia

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Average Yes Price

6¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/LovU_N" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot Winner"></iframe>

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2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Magnus Carlsen wins

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Events (1)

Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot Winner

Markets (24)

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Magnus Carlsen wins

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Magnus Carlsen wins

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Fabiano Caruana wins

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Fabiano Caruana wins

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Alireza Firouzja wins

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Alireza Firouzja wins

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Wesley So wins

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Wesley So wins

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Nodirbek Abdusattorov wins

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Nodirbek Abdusattorov wins

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2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Magnus Carlsen wins

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Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot Winner

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Magnus Carlsen wins

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Magnus Carlsen wins

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Fabiano Caruana wins

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Fabiano Caruana wins

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Alireza Firouzja wins

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Alireza Firouzja wins

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Wesley So wins

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Wesley So wins

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Nodirbek Abdusattorov wins

2026 Total Chess World Championship Tour Pilot chess tournament: Nodirbek Abdusattorov wins

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