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What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents' Dinner?

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What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents' Dinner?

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28 markets tracked

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Fake News)

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Single-Platform Markets(28)

Market	Platform	Price
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Fake News)	Kalshi	84%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Ballroom)	Kalshi	79%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (250)	Kalshi	77%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Stock Market)	Kalshi	71%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Hottest)	Kalshi	71%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Cheat / Cheater / Cheating)	Kalshi	67%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Iran (3+ times))	Kalshi	63%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Comedy / Comedian)	Kalshi	63%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (MAGA / Make America Great Again)	Kalshi	61%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Oil)	Kalshi	57%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Sleepy Joe)	Kalshi	57%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (China)	Kalshi	55%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Barack Hussein Obama)	Kalshi	52%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Radical Left)	Kalshi	41%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Israel / Israeli)	Kalshi	40%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Newsom / Newscum)	Kalshi	37%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Autopen)	Kalshi	37%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome)	Kalshi	36%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Kamala)	Kalshi	36%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)	Kalshi	32%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Afford / Affordable / Affordability)	Kalshi	30%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Transgender)	Kalshi	29%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Weave / Weaved / Weaving)	Kalshi	24%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Hoax)	Kalshi	23%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Movie Star)	Kalshi	15%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Event does not qualify)	Kalshi	12%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Epstein)	Kalshi	7%
What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Crypto / Bitcoin)	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

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Donald Trump - White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 If Donald Trump says X / Y / Z as part of White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Video of the White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external, official, transcripts of the Whit

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents' Dinner?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Donald Trump - White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026

If Donald Trump says X / Y / Z as part of White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Video of the White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external, official, transcripts of the Whit

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If 
 Donald Trump says Weave / Weaved / Weaving as part of White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026
, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 will be primarily used t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Weave / Weaved / Weaving)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Transgender)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Stock Market)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Sleepy Joe)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Radical Left)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Oil)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Event does not qualify)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Newsom / Newscum)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Movie Star)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (MAGA / Make America Great Again)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Kamala)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Israel / Israeli)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Iran (3+ times))
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Hottest)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Hoax)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Fake News)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 84.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Epstein)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Crypto / Bitcoin)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Comedy / Comedian)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (China)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Cheat / Cheater / Cheating)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Barack Hussein Obama)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Ballroom)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Autopen)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (AI / Artificial Intelligence)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Afford / Affordable / Affordability)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (250)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIMentions

What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents' Dinner?

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KALSHI

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Fake News)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.0¢No 16.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Fake News)

If Donald Trump says Fake News as part of White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the m

KALSHI

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Ballroom)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 78.5¢No 21.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Ballroom)

If Donald Trump says Ballroom as part of White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the ma

KALSHI

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (250)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.0¢No 23.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (250)

If Donald Trump says 250 as part of White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market;

KALSHI

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Stock Market)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 71.0¢No 29.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Stock Market)

If Donald Trump says Stock Market as part of White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve th

KALSHI

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Hottest)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 71.0¢No 29.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Hottest)

If Donald Trump says Hottest as part of White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Video of the White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the mar

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What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Fake News)

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What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents' Dinner?

Markets (28)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Fake News)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Fake News)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Ballroom)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Ballroom)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (250)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (250)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Stock Market)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Stock Market)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Hottest)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Hottest)

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What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Fake News)

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What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents' Dinner?

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Fake News)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Fake News)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Ballroom)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Ballroom)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (250)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (250)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Stock Market)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Stock Market)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Hottest)

What will Donald Trump say during White House Correspondents' Dinner originally scheduled for July 24th, 2026? (Hottest)

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