Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 28? | PredictPedia

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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 28?

Name: Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 28?
End: 2026-01-28T23:00:00.000Z

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Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 28?

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Market	Platform	Price
Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 28?	Poly	50%

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50%

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About This Event

This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Bitcoin ETF flows on Wednesday, January 28, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0. If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title. The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been publi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 28?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 28, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Bitcoin ETF flows on Wednesday, January 28, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0.

If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab available at https://farside.co.uk/btc/ in the "Total" column for the date specified in the title.

The total flows will be considered finalized for that day once flows for all ETF providers have been publi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Positive" if total Bitcoin ETF flows on Wednesday, January 28, 2026 are greater than 0, and to "Negative" if they are less than 0.

If flows are exactly 0, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source is Farside Investors, specifically the ETF Flow tab availa"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $2
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 28?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Positive: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Negative: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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About This Event

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