Name: UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)
End: 2026-03-29T03:59:59.999Z

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UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card) | PredictPedia

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9 markets tracked

Over/Under 2.5 Rounds

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	100%
Will Chase Hooper win by KO or TKO?	Poly	99%
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	90%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	0%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	0%
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)	Poly	0%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	0%
Will Lance Gibson Jr. win by KO or TKO?	Poly	0%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 29, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Chase Hooper" if Chase Hooper is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lance Gibson Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026.

It will resolve to "Lance Gibson Jr." if Lance Gibson Jr. is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market wi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Chase Hooper" if Chase Hooper is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lance Gibson Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026.

It will resolve to "Lance Gibson Jr." if Lance Gibson Jr. is officially declared the winner.

If t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $589.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $660.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.89)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $504.8K
  DATA: [Chase Hooper: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Lance Gibson Jr.: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $233
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $80.7K
  DATA: [Over: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Under: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Lance Gibson Jr. win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $764
  DATA: [Over: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Under: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $210
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $126
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Chase Hooper win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $154
  DATA: [Yes: 99.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.7% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $111
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

32¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/LvpgHZ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)"></iframe>

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UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)

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Over/Under 2.5 Rounds

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Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)

Markets (9)

Will Chase Hooper win by KO or TKO?

Will Chase Hooper win by KO or TKO?

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Over/Under 1.5 Rounds

Over/Under 1.5 Rounds

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

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Over/Under 2.5 Rounds

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)

Will Chase Hooper win by KO or TKO?

Will Chase Hooper win by KO or TKO?

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Over/Under 1.5 Rounds

Over/Under 1.5 Rounds

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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