Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Name: Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino
End: 2026-10-19T10:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$68.02

Events

Markets

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Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Vol

$68.02

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $68.02

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $68.02

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino	Poly	65%
Set 1 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino	Poly	60%
Pellegrino vs. Giustino: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	60%
Pellegrino vs. Giustino: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	54%
Maia: Completed Match: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino	Poly	54%
Set 2 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino	Poly	50%
Pellegrino vs. Giustino: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Pellegrino vs. Giustino: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	49%
Pellegrino vs. Giustino: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Pellegrino vs. Giustino: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Pellegrino vs. Giustino: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Pellegrino vs. Giustino: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	47%
Game Spread: Andrea Pellegrino (-3.5) vs Lorenzo Giustino (+3.5)	Poly	47%
Set Handicap: Andrea Pellegrino (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Giustino (+1.5)	Poly	42%
Pellegrino vs. Giustino: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	41%
Andrea Pellegrino vs. Lorenzo Giustino: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	39%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

65%

Top Probability

$68.02

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Lorenzo Giustino in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegrino' if Andrea Pellegrino advances against Lorenzo Giustino. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Andrea Pellegrino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 d

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Lorenzo Giustino in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegrino' if Andrea Pellegrino advances against Lorenzo Giustino.

This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Andrea Pellegrino.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 d

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Lorenzo Giustino in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegrino' if Andrea Pellegrino advances against Lorenzo Giustino.

This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Gi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $68
* **Total Liquidity:** $61.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $68
  DATA: [Andrea Pellegrino: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [Lorenzo Giustino: 35.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Maia: Completed Match: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Andrea Pellegrino: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [Lorenzo Giustino: 40.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Andrea Pellegrino: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Lorenzo Giustino: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Andrea Pellegrino vs. Lorenzo Giustino: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Pellegrino vs. Giustino: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Pellegrino vs. Giustino: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Pellegrino vs. Giustino: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 40.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Pellegrino vs. Giustino: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Pellegrino vs. Giustino: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Pellegrino vs. Giustino: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Pellegrino vs. Giustino: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 46.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Pellegrino vs. Giustino: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Pellegrino vs. Giustino: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Andrea Pellegrino (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Giustino (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Andrea Pellegrino: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [Lorenzo Giustino: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Andrea Pellegrino (-3.5) vs Lorenzo Giustino (+3.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Andrea Pellegrino: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [Lorenzo Giustino: 53.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Volume$68.02

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Maia: Completed Match: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Maia: Completed Match: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

POLYMARKET

Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

POLYMARKET

Andrea Pellegrino vs. Lorenzo Giustino: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Andrea Pellegrino vs. Lorenzo Giustino: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Lorenzo Giustino in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" o

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Oct 19, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC

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Average Yes Price

50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Lyg3-X" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino"></iframe>

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Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

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Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Markets (16)

Maia: Completed Match: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Maia: Completed Match: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Set 1 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Set 1 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Set 2 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Set 2 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Andrea Pellegrino vs. Lorenzo Giustino: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Andrea Pellegrino vs. Lorenzo Giustino: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

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Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Maia: Completed Match: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Maia: Completed Match: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Maia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Set 1 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Set 1 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Set 2 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Set 2 Winner: Andrea Pellegrino vs Lorenzo Giustino

Andrea Pellegrino vs. Lorenzo Giustino: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Andrea Pellegrino vs. Lorenzo Giustino: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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