GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

South Ossetia Presidential Election Winner

Name: South Ossetia Presidential Election Winner
End: 2026-09-18T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$13.28K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

South Ossetia Presidential Election Winner

Vol

$13.28K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $13.28K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $13.28K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	Poly	98%
Will Dzambolat Tedeev win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	Poly	1%
Will Khokh Chochiev win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	Poly	1%
Will Oleg Kozaev win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	Poly	1%
Will Alan Gagloev win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	Poly	1%
Will Atsamaz Bibilov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	Poly	1%
Will Anatoly Bibilov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$13.28K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Ossetia on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as ind

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** South Ossetia Presidential Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 18, 2026 (14 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Ossetia on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round. 

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as ind

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Ossetia on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potenti"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $13.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $102.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.13)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $11.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Khokh Chochiev win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $325
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Oleg Kozaev win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $254
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Dzambolat Tedeev win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $283
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Atsamaz Bibilov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $346
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Alan Gagloev win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $254
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Anatoly Bibilov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 18, 2026): Vol $676
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics