Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Atletico vs Manchester United: First Half Winner

Total Volume

$1.03K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Atletico vs Manchester United: First Half Winner

Vol

$1.03K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.03K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.03K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Atletico wins 1st Half

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Atletico wins 1st Half	Kalshi	38%
Tie 1st Half	Kalshi	37%
Manchester United wins 1st Half	Kalshi	25%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

38%

Top Probability

$1.03K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

ATM vs MUN (Oct 13) If X is the Y of the first half in the Atletico vs Manchester United professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the X of the first half in the Atletico vs Manchester United professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. If no goals are scored during the half, or the team

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Atletico vs Manchester United: First Half Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** ATM vs MUN (Oct 13)

If X is the Y of the first half in the Atletico vs Manchester United professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the X of the first half in the Atletico vs Manchester United professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. If no goals are scored during the half, or the team

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the first half in the Atletico vs Manchester United professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the result of the first ha"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $567
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Manchester United wins 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Atletico wins 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $466
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Atletico vs Manchester United: First Half Winner

Volume$1.03K

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Atletico wins 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.0¢No 62.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Atletico wins 1st Half

If Atletico is the winner of the first half in the Atletico vs Manchester United professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the winner of the fir

KALSHI

Tie 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Tie 1st Half

If Tie is the result of the first half in the Atletico vs Manchester United professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the result of the first ha

KALSHI

Manchester United wins 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 24.5¢No 75.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Manchester United wins 1st Half

If Manchester United is the winner of the first half in the Atletico vs Manchester United professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the winner o

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Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/M5uENP" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Atletico vs Manchester United: First Half Winner"></iframe>

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Atletico vs Manchester United: First Half Winner

Atletico vs Manchester United: First Half Winner

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Atletico wins 1st Half

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Atletico vs Manchester United: First Half Winner

Markets (3)

Atletico wins 1st Half

Atletico wins 1st Half

Tie 1st Half

Tie 1st Half

Manchester United wins 1st Half

Manchester United wins 1st Half

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Atletico wins 1st Half

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Atletico vs Manchester United: First Half Winner

Atletico wins 1st Half

Atletico wins 1st Half

Tie 1st Half

Tie 1st Half

Manchester United wins 1st Half

Manchester United wins 1st Half

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