Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Total Goals

Total Volume

$14.73

Events

Markets

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Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Total Goals

Vol

$14.73

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $14.73

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.73

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will over 0.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	95%
Will over 1.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	81%
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	60%
Will over 3.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	37%
Will over 4.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	20%
Will over 5.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	9%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$14.73

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

NEW vs AVL (Oct 17) If over X goals are scored in the Newcastle vs Aston Villa professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expir

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Total Goals
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** NEW vs AVL (Oct 17)

If over X goals are scored in the Newcastle vs Aston Villa professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expir

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If over 5.5 goals are scored in the Newcastle vs Aston Villa professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, auth"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $15
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will over 5.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will over 4.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will over 3.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will over 2.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will over 1.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 81.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will over 0.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Total Goals

Volume$14.73

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

If over 0.5 goals are scored in the Newcastle vs Aston Villa professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, auth

KALSHI

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 81.0¢No 19.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

If over 1.5 goals are scored in the Newcastle vs Aston Villa professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, auth

KALSHI

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 59.5¢No 40.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

If over 2.5 goals are scored in the Newcastle vs Aston Villa professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, auth

KALSHI

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

If over 3.5 goals are scored in the Newcastle vs Aston Villa professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, auth

KALSHI

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

If over 4.5 goals are scored in the Newcastle vs Aston Villa professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, auth

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50¢

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Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Total Goals

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Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Total Goals

Markets (6)

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

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Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

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Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Total Goals

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

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