Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Dana White's Contender Series: Will Rentz vs. Luis Francischinelli (Welterweight, Main Card)

Name: Dana White's Contender Series: Will Rentz vs. Luis Francischinelli (Welterweight, Main Card)
End: 2026-10-14T03:59:59.999Z

Total Volume

$234.65

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Dana White's Contender Series: Will Rentz vs. Luis Francischinelli (Welterweight, Main Card)

Vol

$234.65

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $234.65

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $234.65

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

19 markets tracked

Fight to Go the Distance?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(19)

Market	Platform	Price
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	51%
Will the fight be won by decision?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Poly	51%
Will Will Rentz win in Round 1?	Poly	51%
Will Will Rentz win in Round 2?	Poly	51%
Will Will Rentz win in Round 3?	Poly	51%
Will Luis Francischinelli win in Round 1?	Poly	51%
Will Luis Francischinelli win in Round 2?	Poly	51%
Will Luis Francischinelli win in Round 3?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Poly	51%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will Will Rentz win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will Luis Francischinelli win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	50%
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Dana White's Contender Series: Will Rentz vs. Luis Francischinelli (Welterweight, Main Card)	Poly	30%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

51%

Top Probability

$234.65

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Will Rentz" if Will Rentz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Luis Francischinelli at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026. It will resolve to "Luis Francischinelli" if Luis Francischinelli is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 27, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dana White's Contender Series: Will Rentz vs. Luis Francischinelli (Welterweight, Main Card)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 14, 2026 (3 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Will Rentz" if Will Rentz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Luis Francischinelli at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026.

It will resolve to "Luis Francischinelli" if Luis Francischinelli is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 27, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Will Rentz" if Will Rentz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Luis Francischinelli at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026.

It will resolve to "Luis Francischinelli" if Luis Francischinelli is officially de"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $235
* **Total Liquidity:** $9.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Dana White's Contender Series: Will Rentz vs. Luis Francischinelli (Welterweight, Main Card)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $235
  DATA: [Will Rentz: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [Luis Francischinelli: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Will Rentz win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Luis Francischinelli win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the fight be won by decision?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the fight end before Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the fight end before Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Will Rentz win in Round 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Will Rentz win in Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Will Rentz win in Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Luis Francischinelli win in Round 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Luis Francischinelli win in Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Luis Francischinelli win in Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the fight end in a decision or draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Dana White's Contender Series: Will Rentz vs. Luis Francischinelli (Welterweight, Main Card)

Volume$234.65

Markets19

19 of 19

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POLYMARKET

Fight to Go the Distance?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Will Rentz and Luis Francischinelli at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by decision?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight be won by decision?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Will Rentz and Luis Francischinelli at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026, is won by decision, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If

POLYMARKET

Will the fight end before Round 2?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight end before Round 2?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Will Rentz and Luis Francischinelli at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026, officially ends before Round 2 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor o

POLYMARKET

Will the fight end before Round 3?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight end before Round 3?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Will Rentz and Luis Francischinelli at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026, officially ends before Round 3 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor o

POLYMARKET

Will Will Rentz win in Round 1?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will Will Rentz win in Round 1?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Will Rentz defeats Luis Francischinelli at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it

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Oct 14, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

49¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/MF7mY8" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Dana White's Contender Series: Will Rentz vs. Luis Francischinelli (Welterweight, Main Card)"></iframe>

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Dana White's Contender Series: Will Rentz vs. Luis Francischinelli (Welterweight, Main Card)

Dana White's Contender Series: Will Rentz vs. Luis Francischinelli (Welterweight, Main Card)

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Fight to Go the Distance?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Dana White's Contender Series: Will Rentz vs. Luis Francischinelli (Welterweight, Main Card)

Markets (19)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will Will Rentz win in Round 1?

Will Will Rentz win in Round 1?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Fight to Go the Distance?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Dana White's Contender Series: Will Rentz vs. Luis Francischinelli (Welterweight, Main Card)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will Will Rentz win in Round 1?

Will Will Rentz win in Round 1?

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Discussion

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