Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? | PredictPedia

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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

Name: Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
End: 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$341.07

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $341.07

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $341.07

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?	Poly	31%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

31%

Top Probability

$341.07

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of unique humans displayed on the official World website exceeds 30,000,000 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official World website, available at https://world.org/, specifically the “Unique humans” figure shown on the homepage. This market is based solely on the “Unique humans” figure displayed on the official World website (https://world.org/), not on data from third-party

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (350 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of unique humans displayed on the official World website exceeds 30,000,000 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is the official World website, available at https://world.org/, specifically the “Unique humans” figure shown on the homepage.

This market is based solely on the “Unique humans” figure displayed on the official World website (https://world.org/), not on data from third-party

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of unique humans displayed on the official World website exceeds 30,000,000 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is the official World website, available at https://world.org/, specifically"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $341
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.17)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $341
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

349d 15h remaining

Jan 01, 2027 5:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

31¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

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Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

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Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)