Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Name: Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski
End: 2026-10-21T09:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$115.50

Events

Markets

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Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Vol

$115.50

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $115.50

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $115.50

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski	Poly	53%
Olbia: Completed Match: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski	Poly	50%
Set 1 Winner: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski	Poly	50%
Set 2 Winner: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski	Poly	50%
Andrea Guerrieri vs. Maks Kasnikowski: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Andrea Guerrieri (-1.5) vs Maks Kasnikowski (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Maks Kasnikowski (-1.5) vs Andrea Guerrieri (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Guerrieri vs. Kasnikowski: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Guerrieri vs. Kasnikowski: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Guerrieri vs. Kasnikowski: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Guerrieri vs. Kasnikowski: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	49%
Guerrieri vs. Kasnikowski: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	49%
Guerrieri vs. Kasnikowski: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	49%
Guerrieri vs. Kasnikowski: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Guerrieri vs. Kasnikowski: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Guerrieri vs. Kasnikowski: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

53%

Top Probability

$115.50

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Guerrieri and Maks Kasnikowski in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Guerrieri' if Andrea Guerrieri advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Andrea Guerrieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 21, 2026 (9 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Guerrieri and Maks Kasnikowski in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Andrea Guerrieri' if Andrea Guerrieri advances against Maks Kasnikowski.

This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Andrea Guerrieri.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Guerrieri and Maks Kasnikowski in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Andrea Guerrieri' if Andrea Guerrieri advances against Maks Kasnikowski.

This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasniko"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $115
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.03)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $115
  DATA: [Andrea Guerrieri: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [Maks Kasnikowski: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Olbia: Completed Match: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Andrea Guerrieri: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Maks Kasnikowski: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Andrea Guerrieri: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Maks Kasnikowski: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Andrea Guerrieri vs. Maks Kasnikowski: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Guerrieri vs. Kasnikowski: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Guerrieri vs. Kasnikowski: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Guerrieri vs. Kasnikowski: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Guerrieri vs. Kasnikowski: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Guerrieri vs. Kasnikowski: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Guerrieri vs. Kasnikowski: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Guerrieri vs. Kasnikowski: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Guerrieri vs. Kasnikowski: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Guerrieri vs. Kasnikowski: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Andrea Guerrieri (-1.5) vs Maks Kasnikowski (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Andrea Guerrieri: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Maks Kasnikowski: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Set Handicap: Maks Kasnikowski (-1.5) vs Andrea Guerrieri (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Maks Kasnikowski: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Andrea Guerrieri: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Volume$115.50

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Olbia: Completed Match: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Olbia: Completed Match: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

POLYMARKET

Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Set 1 Winner: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Set 2 Winner: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

POLYMARKET

Andrea Guerrieri vs. Maks Kasnikowski: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Andrea Guerrieri vs. Maks Kasnikowski: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Guerrieri and Maks Kasnikowski in the Olbia, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" o

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Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

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49¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/MLecCp" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski"></iframe>

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Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

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Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Markets (16)

Olbia: Completed Match: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Olbia: Completed Match: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Set 1 Winner: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Set 1 Winner: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Set 2 Winner: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Set 2 Winner: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Andrea Guerrieri vs. Maks Kasnikowski: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Andrea Guerrieri vs. Maks Kasnikowski: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

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Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Olbia: Completed Match: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Olbia: Completed Match: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Set 1 Winner: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Set 1 Winner: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Set 2 Winner: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Set 2 Winner: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski

Andrea Guerrieri vs. Maks Kasnikowski: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Andrea Guerrieri vs. Maks Kasnikowski: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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