Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Yokohama Mayoral Election Winner

Name: Yokohama Mayoral Election Winner
End: 2026-10-18T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$6.03K

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Markets

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Yokohama Mayoral Election Winner

Vol

$6.03K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $6.03K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.03K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?	Poly	66%
Will Kazuma Nakatani win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?	Poly	14%
Will Atsushi Fukuyama win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?	Poly	6%
Will Yuka Asaka win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?	Poly	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

66%

Top Probability

$6.03K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this ma

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Yokohama Mayoral Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 18, 2026 (7 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Yokohama as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this ma

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The next Yokohama mayoral election is scheduled to be held on October 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Yokohama, Japan (横浜市長). The election is being held following the resignation of Mayor Takeharu Yamanaka on September 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the nex"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $36.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.17)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Kazuma Nakatani win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $3.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Atsushi Fukuyama win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $221
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Yuka Asaka win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $209
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics