Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)

Name: Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)
End: 2026-10-14T03:59:59.999Z

Total Volume

$616.02K

Events

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Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)

Vol

$616.02K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $616.02K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $616.02K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

19 markets tracked

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(19)

Market	Platform	Price
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	65%
Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)	Poly	56%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	53%
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Poly	51%
Will Ilias Bulaid win in Round 1?	Poly	51%
Will Ilias Bulaid win in Round 2?	Poly	51%
Will Ilias Bulaid win in Round 3?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Poly	51%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Will Ilias Bulaid win by KO or TKO?	Poly	37%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	35%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	34%
Will Erick Visconde win in Round 1?	Poly	27%
Will Erick Visconde win in Round 2?	Poly	27%
Will the fight be won by decision?	Poly	26%
Will Erick Visconde win in Round 3?	Poly	26%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	21%
Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO?	Poly	14%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

65%

Top Probability

$616.02K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Ilias Bulaid" if Ilias Bulaid is officially declared the winner of the fight against Erick Visconde at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Erick Visconde" if Erick Visconde is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 14, 2026 (3 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Ilias Bulaid" if Ilias Bulaid is officially declared the winner of the fight against Erick Visconde at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026.

It will resolve to "Erick Visconde" if Erick Visconde is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Ilias Bulaid" if Ilias Bulaid is officially declared the winner of the fight against Erick Visconde at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026.

It will resolve to "Erick Visconde" if Erick Visconde is officially declared the wi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $616.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $119.2K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.17)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $152.9K
  DATA: [Ilias Bulaid: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [Erick Visconde: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $65.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $49
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ilias Bulaid win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $72.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Erick Visconde win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $235.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $56.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $13.1K
  DATA: [Over: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 35.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $19.5K
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the fight be won by decision?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the fight end before Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the fight end before Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Ilias Bulaid win in Round 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Ilias Bulaid win in Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Ilias Bulaid win in Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Erick Visconde win in Round 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Erick Visconde win in Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Erick Visconde win in Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the fight end in a decision or draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)

Volume$616.02K

Markets19

19 of 19

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ilias Bulaid and Erick Visconde at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If th

POLYMARKET

Will the fight end before Round 2?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight end before Round 2?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ilias Bulaid and Erick Visconde at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026, officially ends before Round 2 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or c

POLYMARKET

Will the fight end before Round 3?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight end before Round 3?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ilias Bulaid and Erick Visconde at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026, officially ends before Round 3 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or c

POLYMARKET

Will Ilias Bulaid win in Round 1?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will Ilias Bulaid win in Round 1?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilias Bulaid defeats Erick Visconde at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it wil

POLYMARKET

Will Ilias Bulaid win in Round 2?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will Ilias Bulaid win in Round 2?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilias Bulaid defeats Erick Visconde at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 2, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it wil

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Oct 14, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

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41¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/MNXrpT" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)"></iframe>

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Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)

Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)

Markets (19)

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will Ilias Bulaid win in Round 1?

Will Ilias Bulaid win in Round 1?

Will Ilias Bulaid win in Round 2?

Will Ilias Bulaid win in Round 2?

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Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will Ilias Bulaid win in Round 1?

Will Ilias Bulaid win in Round 1?

Will Ilias Bulaid win in Round 2?

Will Ilias Bulaid win in Round 2?

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