Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Diesel prices in Oct 2026

Total Volume

$180.47K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Diesel prices in Oct 2026

Vol

$180.47K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $180.47K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $180.47K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.50?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.50?	Kalshi	96%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.70?	Kalshi	95%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.60?	Kalshi	95%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.90?	Kalshi	83%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.80?	Kalshi	82%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.00?	Kalshi	77%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.10?	Kalshi	74%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.20?	Kalshi	60%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.30?	Kalshi	42%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.40?	Kalshi	32%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.50?	Kalshi	25%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.70?	Kalshi	22%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.60?	Kalshi	18%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.80?	Kalshi	16%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.00?	Kalshi	13%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.90?	Kalshi	12%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.10?	Kalshi	10%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.50?	Kalshi	9%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.30?	Kalshi	5%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.40?	Kalshi	5%
Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.20?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$180.47K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

October 31, 2026 If the Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Diesel prices in Oct 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** October 31, 2026

If the Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 is above $7.50, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $180.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $696
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.40?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $3.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.30?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.20?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $8.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.10?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $8.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.90?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $4.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.80?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $7.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.70?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.60?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $15.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $21.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.40?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $15.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.30?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $23.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.20?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $13.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.10?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $10.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $9.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.90?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $6.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.80?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 81.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.70?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $963
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.60?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $6.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $7.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Diesel prices in Oct 2026

Volume$180.47K

Markets21

21 of 21

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.50?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.50?

If the Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 is above $5.50, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.70?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.70?

If the Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 is above $5.70, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.60?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.60?

If the Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 is above $5.60, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.90?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.0¢No 17.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.90?

If the Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 is above $5.90, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.80?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 81.5¢No 18.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.80?

If the Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 is above $5.80, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

42¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/MNgANg" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Diesel prices in Oct 2026"></iframe>

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Diesel prices in Oct 2026

Diesel prices in Oct 2026

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Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.50?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Diesel prices in Oct 2026

Markets (21)

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.50?

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.50?

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.70?

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.70?

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.60?

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.60?

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.90?

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.90?

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.80?

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.80?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.50?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Diesel prices in Oct 2026

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.50?

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.50?

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.70?

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.70?

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.60?

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.60?

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.90?

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.90?

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.80?

Will Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 be above $5.80?

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