Name: Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
End: 2026-04-18T22:00:00.000Z

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Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | PredictPedia

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $36.76K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $36.76K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

34 markets tracked

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(34)

Market	Platform	Price
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Poly	77%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner	Poly	70%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner	Poly	68%
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	52%
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	52%
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	52%
First Blood in Game 2?	Poly	51%
First Blood in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)	Poly	48%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	43%
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	33%
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	33%
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	33%
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	29%
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	29%
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	29%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	28%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	28%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	28%
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	28%
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	16%
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	16%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

77%

Top Probability

$36.76K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Tundra Esports and Heroic in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win the match against Heroic. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against Tundra Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market wil

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 18, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Tundra Esports and Heroic in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 1:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win the match against Heroic.

This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against Tundra Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market wil

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Tundra Esports and Heroic in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 1:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win the match against Heroic.

This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Her"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $36.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $454.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.08)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $33.7K
  DATA: [Tundra Esports: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [Heroic: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Tundra Esports: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [Heroic: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $246
  DATA: [Tundra Esports: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [Heroic: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $273
  DATA: [Over: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $321
  DATA: [Tundra Esports: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [Heroic: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. First Blood in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Tundra Esports: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Heroic: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. First Blood in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Tundra Esports: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Heroic: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Volume$36.76K

Markets34

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POLYMARKET

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

This market is about whether Game 1 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). T

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

This market is about whether Game 2 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). T

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

This market is about whether Game 3 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). T

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 1. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items. This market will resolve to "Yes

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 2. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items. This market will resolve to "Yes

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44¢

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Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

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Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

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Events (1)

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Markets (34)

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

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Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

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Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

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