Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3

Total Volume

$67.11K

Events

Markets

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Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3

Vol

$67.11K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $67.11K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $67.11K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 6% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 6% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	96%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 7% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	92%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 8% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	76%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 9% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	58%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 10% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	36%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 11% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	9%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 12% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	7%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 14% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 13% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 17% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 16% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	2%
Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 15% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$67.11K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026 If Sweetgreen Inc. reports Above X restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026

If Sweetgreen Inc. reports Above X restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Sweetgreen Inc. reports Above 6% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $67.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 6% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $898
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 7% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $640
  DATA: [Yes: 92.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 8% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 9% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $6.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 17% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $16.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 16% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 15% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 14% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $7.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 13% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 12% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $5.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 11% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $12.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 10% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $6.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3

Volume$67.11K

Markets12

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KALSHI

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 6% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.0¢No 4.0¢

KALSHICompanies

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 6% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

If Sweetgreen Inc. reports Above 6% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are t

KALSHI

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 7% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.0¢No 8.0¢

KALSHICompanies

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 7% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

If Sweetgreen Inc. reports Above 7% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are t

KALSHI

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 8% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 76.0¢No 24.0¢

KALSHICompanies

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 8% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

If Sweetgreen Inc. reports Above 8% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are t

KALSHI

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 9% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.0¢No 42.0¢

KALSHICompanies

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 9% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

If Sweetgreen Inc. reports Above 9% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are t

KALSHI

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 10% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.5¢No 64.5¢

KALSHICompanies

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 10% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

If Sweetgreen Inc. reports Above 10% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are

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32¢

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Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3

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Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 6% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

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Events (1)

Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3

Markets (12)

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 6% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 6% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 7% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 7% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 8% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 8% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 9% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 9% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 10% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 10% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

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Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 6% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 6% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 6% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 7% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 7% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 8% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 8% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 9% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 9% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 10% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

Will Sweetgreen Inc. report Above 10% restaurant-level profit margin in Q3 2026?

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