Market snapshot: Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform4 EventsPolitics

Alaska Senate and Governor Combo

Reported volume

PM $131.3K · K 50.39M contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

Alaska Senate and Governor Combo

Vol

PM $131.3K · K 50.39M contracts

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Polymarket vs Kalshi

Snapshot from Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

As of Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, Dems sweep is priced at 99.6% on Polymarket and 99.5% on Kalshi.

Outcome (Yes price)	Polymarket	Kalshi	Gap
Dems sweepSame question, fine print differs	99.6%	99.5%	0.1 pts
Reps win Gov, Dems win SenateSame question, fine print differs	0.6%	0.5%	0.1 pts
Reps sweepSame question, fine print differs	0.4%	0.5%	0.1 pts
Dems win Gov, Reps win SenateSame question, fine print differs	0.5%	0.5%	0.0 pts

Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

4 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Alaska Senate and Governor Combo

No data available

Include related or unreviewed contracts

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with usable prices. You can inspect related contracts, but their prices do not measure the same outcome.

Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff

Rules & Resolution

Differs

Saved matching review

Same question, fine print differs: 4 pairs

Related contracts: 4 pairs

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

Review notes

Saved notes may describe earlier contract terms. Use the pair status above and current provider rules.

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Alaska Senate winner?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Alaska Senate and Governor Combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 4 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Alaska Governor-Senate combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Alaska Senate and Governor Combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 0 same question with differing fine print, 2 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Alaska Governor winner? (Party)". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2027-11-03T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Alaska Senate and Governor Combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-11-04T04:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $131.3K · K 50.39M contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Alaska Senate winner?

In 2026 If a representative X party is sworn in as a Senator of Alaska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market will close early following the swearing in of the Senator for the seat in question.

Volume$48.89M

Markets2

POLYMARKETPolitics

Alaska Senate and Governor Combo

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Volume$131.29K

Markets4

4 of 4

Sort:

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Alaska?

kalshi

Will Democratics win the Senate race in Alaska?

Yes: 99.6¢
No: 0.4¢

polymarket

Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

Yes: 99.6¢
No: 0.4¢

kalshi

Will Alaska Governor winner be Democratic party and Alaska Senate winner be Democratic party?

Yes: 99.5¢
No: 0.5¢

kalshi

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Alaska

Yes: 99.9¢
No: 0.1¢

Will Alaska Governor winner be Republican party and Alaska Senate winner be Democratic party?

Same question, fine print differs

The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will Alaska Governor winner be Republican party and Alaska Senate winner be Democratic party?"; listed deadline Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC. Polymarket: "Will Republicans win the Alaska Governor election and Democrats win the Alaska Senate election?"; listed deadline Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Reviewed: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 05:04:59 GMT

Review notes

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 4 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Alaska Governor-Senate combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC. Polymarket event: "Alaska Senate and Governor Combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

kalshi

Will Alaska Governor winner be Republican party and Alaska Senate winner be Democratic party?

Yes: 0.5¢
No: 99.5¢

polymarket

Will Republicans win the Alaska Governor election and Democrats win the Alaska Senate election?

Yes: 0.6¢
No: 99.4¢

Will Alaska Governor winner be Democratic party and Alaska Senate winner be Republican party?

Same question, fine print differs

The automated review found that both contracts ask the same question, but their fine print differs, so they may not settle identically. Kalshi: "Will Alaska Governor winner be Democratic party and Alaska Senate winner be Republican party?"; listed deadline Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC. Polymarket: "Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election?"; listed deadline Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Reviewed: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 05:04:59 GMT

Review notes

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 4 same question with differing fine print, 0 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Alaska Governor-Senate combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC. Polymarket event: "Alaska Senate and Governor Combo". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): Nov 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

kalshi

Will Alaska Governor winner be Democratic party and Alaska Senate winner be Republican party?

Yes: 0.5¢
No: 99.5¢

polymarket

Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election?

Yes: 0.5¢
No: 99.5¢

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Alaska?

kalshi

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Alaska?

Yes: 0.5¢
No: 99.5¢

polymarket

Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

Yes: 0.4¢
No: 99.6¢

kalshi

Will Alaska Governor winner be Republican party and Alaska Senate winner be Republican party?

Yes: 0.5¢
No: 99.5¢

kalshi

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Alaska

Yes: 0.1¢
No: 99.9¢

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics

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Next Market Deadline

Calculating time remaining…

Nov 03, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Same-question pairs

Largest saved gap: 0.1 percentage points.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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