Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia: Spread

Total Volume

$300.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia: Spread

Vol

$300.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $300.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $300.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Jagiellonia wins by more than 1.5 goals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Jagiellonia wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	45%
Jagiellonia wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	24%
Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	12%
Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	10%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

45%

Top Probability

$300.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

JAG vs ARA (Oct 15) If Jagiellonia wins by more than X goals in the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Thi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** JAG vs ARA (Oct 15)

If Jagiellonia wins by more than X goals in the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Thi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Jagiellonia wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $300
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Jagiellonia wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Jagiellonia wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $300
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia: Spread

Volume$300.00

Markets4

4 of 4

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KALSHI

Jagiellonia wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Jagiellonia wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Jagiellonia wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not

KALSHI

Jagiellonia wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 24.0¢No 76.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Jagiellonia wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Jagiellonia wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not

KALSHI

Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is

KALSHI

Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

23¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/MTB_2u" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia: Spread"></iframe>

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Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia: Spread

Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia: Spread

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Jagiellonia wins by more than 1.5 goals?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia: Spread

Markets (4)

Jagiellonia wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Jagiellonia wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Jagiellonia wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Jagiellonia wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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Jagiellonia wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia: Spread

Jagiellonia wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Jagiellonia wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Jagiellonia wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Jagiellonia wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Ararat-Armenia wins by more than 2.5 goals?

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