GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?

Total Volume

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Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?

Vol

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Events

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Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

23 markets tracked

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.6%)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.6%)	Kalshi	13%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.5%)	Kalshi	11%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.4%)	Kalshi	11%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.7%)	Kalshi	9%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.3%)	Kalshi	9%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.8%)	Kalshi	8%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.9%)	Kalshi	7%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.2%)	Kalshi	7%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 5.0%)	Kalshi	6%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.1%)	Kalshi	6%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 5.1%)	Kalshi	4%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.0%)	Kalshi	4%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 5.2%)	Kalshi	3%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 3.9%)	Kalshi	3%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 5.3%)	Kalshi	2%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 3.8%)	Kalshi	2%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 5.5%)	Kalshi	1%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 5.4%)	Kalshi	1%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 3.7%)	Kalshi	1%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 3.6%)	Kalshi	1%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 3.5%)	Kalshi	1%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 3.4%)	Kalshi	1%
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 3.3%)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

13%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

In Oct 2026 If the Unemployment rate is exactly X in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In Oct 2026

If the Unemployment rate is exactly X in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Unemployment rate is exactly 5.5% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 5.5%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 5.4%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 5.3%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 5.2%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 5.1%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 5.0%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.9%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.8%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.7%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.6%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.5%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.4%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.3%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.2%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.1%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.0%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 3.9%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 3.8%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 3.7%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 3.6%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 3.5%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 3.4%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 3.3%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 5, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?

Volume$0.00

Markets23

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KALSHI

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.6%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.6%)

If the Unemployment rate is exactly 4.6% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.5%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.5%)

If the Unemployment rate is exactly 4.5% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.4%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.4%)

If the Unemployment rate is exactly 4.4% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.7%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.0¢No 91.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.7%)

If the Unemployment rate is exactly 4.7% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.3%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.3%)

If the Unemployment rate is exactly 4.3% in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/MTMWV2" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?"></iframe>

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Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?

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Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.6%)

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Events (1)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?

Markets (23)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.6%)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.6%)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.5%)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.5%)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.4%)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.4%)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.7%)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.7%)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.3%)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.3%)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.6%)

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Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.6%)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.6%)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.5%)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.5%)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.4%)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.4%)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.7%)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.7%)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.3%)

Unemployment rate in Oct 2026? (Exactly 4.3%)

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