GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

31 markets tracked

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Kylian Mbappe)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(31)

Market	Platform	Price
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Kylian Mbappe)	Kalshi	31%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Harry Kane)	Kalshi	26%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Ousmane Dembele)	Kalshi	16%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lionel Messi)	Kalshi	15%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lamine Yamal)	Kalshi	8%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Erling Haaland)	Kalshi	6%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Michael Olise)	Kalshi	6%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Khvicha Kvaratskhelia)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Vinicius Junior)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Vitinha)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Tijjani Reijnders)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Scott McTominay)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Rodri)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Rayan Cherki)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Raphinha)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Phil Foden)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Pedri)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Nuno Mendes)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Mohamed Salah)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Marcus Rashford)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lautaro Martinez)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Luis Diaz)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Jude Bellingham)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Gianluigi Donnarumma)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Declan Rice)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Desire Doue)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Cristiano Ronaldo)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Cole Palmer)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Bukayo Saka)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Bruno Fernandes)	Kalshi	1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Bradley Barcola)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

31%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In 2026 If X wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves Y This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If X wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves Y This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Khvicha Kvaratskhelia wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules:   Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Khvicha Kvaratskhelia)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Vinicius Junior)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Vitinha)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Tijjani Reijnders)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Scott McTominay)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Rodri)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Rayan Cherki)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Raphinha)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Phil Foden)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Pedri)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Ousmane Dembele)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Nuno Mendes)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Mohamed Salah)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Marcus Rashford)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Michael Olise)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lamine Yamal)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lionel Messi)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lautaro Martinez)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Luis Diaz)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Kylian Mbappe)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Jude Bellingham)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Harry Kane)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Gianluigi Donnarumma)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Erling Haaland)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Declan Rice)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Desire Doue)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Cristiano Ronaldo)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Cole Palmer)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Bukayo Saka)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Bruno Fernandes)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Bradley Barcola)
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?

In 2026 If X wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves Y This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Volume$0.00

Markets31

31 of 31

Sort:

KALSHI

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Kylian Mbappe)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢

KALSHISports

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Kylian Mbappe)

If Kylian Mbappe wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Harry Kane)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHISports

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Harry Kane)

If Harry Kane wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Ousmane Dembele)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.0¢No 84.0¢

KALSHISports

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Ousmane Dembele)

If Ousmane Dembele wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lionel Messi)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢

KALSHISports

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lionel Messi)

If Lionel Messi wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lamine Yamal)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢

KALSHISports

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lamine Yamal)

If Lamine Yamal wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

4¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/MVYTcR" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Kylian Mbappe)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?

Markets (31)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Kylian Mbappe)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Kylian Mbappe)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Harry Kane)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Harry Kane)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Ousmane Dembele)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Ousmane Dembele)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lionel Messi)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lionel Messi)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lamine Yamal)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lamine Yamal)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Kylian Mbappe)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Kylian Mbappe)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Kylian Mbappe)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Harry Kane)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Harry Kane)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Ousmane Dembele)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Ousmane Dembele)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lionel Messi)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lionel Messi)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lamine Yamal)

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? (Lamine Yamal)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget