Name: Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés
End: 2026-01-18T15:15:00.000Z

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Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?	Poly	75%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?	Poly	18%
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-18?	Poly	8%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 18, 2026 (4 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, January 18, 2026 between Club Atlético de Madrid and Deportivo Alavés.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 18, 2026
If Club Atlético de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no ma"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $29.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $398.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.07)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $28.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $342
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2026): Vol $567
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

3d 4h remaining

Jan 18, 2026 3:15 PM

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Average Yes Price

33¢

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Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés

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Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés

Markets (3)

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-18?

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-18?

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Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?

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Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-18?

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-18?

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