Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Goalscorer

Total Volume

$2.14K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Goalscorer

Vol

$2.14K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.14K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.14K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

19 markets tracked

Pedro Díaz: 1+ goals

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(19)

Market	Platform	Price
Pedro Díaz: 1+ goals	Kalshi	50%
Pathe Ciss: 1+ goals	Kalshi	50%
Mujaid Sadick: 1+ goals	Kalshi	50%
Jorge De Frutos: 1+ goals	Kalshi	50%
Ivan Balliu: 1+ goals	Kalshi	50%
Florian Lejeune: 1+ goals	Kalshi	50%
Adria Pedrosa: 1+ goals	Kalshi	50%
Alvaro Garcia: 1+ goals	Kalshi	50%
Yuri Berchiche: 1+ goals	Kalshi	50%
Yeray Alvarez: 1+ goals	Kalshi	50%
Jesus Areso: 1+ goals	Kalshi	50%
Inigo Ruiz De Galarreta: 1+ goals	Kalshi	50%
Benat Gerenabarrena: 1+ goals	Kalshi	50%
Aitor Paredes: 1+ goals	Kalshi	50%
Unai Lopez: 1+ goals	Kalshi	47%
Inaki Williams: 1+ goals	Kalshi	36%
Sergio Camello: 1+ goals	Kalshi	35%
Robert Navarro: 1+ goals	Kalshi	34%
Alex Berenguer: 1+ goals	Kalshi	34%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$2.14K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

RVC vs ATH (Oct 10) If X records at least 1 goal during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a player in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If a player is active but never enter

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Vallecano vs Bilbao: Goalscorer
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** RVC vs ATH (Oct 10)

If X records at least 1 goal during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a player in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If a player is active but never enter

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Unai Lopez records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Unai Lopez: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $146
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Sergio Camello: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Pedro Díaz: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Pathe Ciss: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Mujaid Sadick: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Jorge De Frutos: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Ivan Balliu: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Florian Lejeune: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Adria Pedrosa: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Alvaro Garcia: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Yuri Berchiche: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Yeray Alvarez: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Robert Navarro: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $28
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Jesus Areso: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Inaki Williams: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $463
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Inigo Ruiz De Galarreta: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Benat Gerenabarrena: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Aitor Paredes: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Alex Berenguer: 1+ goals
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $470
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Goalscorer

Volume$2.14K

Markets19

19 of 19

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KALSHI

Pedro Díaz: 1+ goals

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIOther

Pedro Díaz: 1+ goals

If Pedro Díaz records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player

KALSHI

Pathe Ciss: 1+ goals

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIOther

Pathe Ciss: 1+ goals

If Pathe Ciss records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player

KALSHI

Mujaid Sadick: 1+ goals

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHITech

Mujaid Sadick: 1+ goals

If Mujaid Sadick records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a play

KALSHI

Jorge De Frutos: 1+ goals

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIOther

Jorge De Frutos: 1+ goals

If Jorge De Frutos records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a pl

KALSHI

Ivan Balliu: 1+ goals

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIOther

Ivan Balliu: 1+ goals

If Ivan Balliu records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player

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Average Yes Price

47¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/MZS1aR" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Vallecano vs Bilbao: Goalscorer"></iframe>

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Vallecano vs Bilbao: Goalscorer

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Goalscorer

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Pedro Díaz: 1+ goals

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Goalscorer

Markets (19)

Pedro Díaz: 1+ goals

Pedro Díaz: 1+ goals

Pathe Ciss: 1+ goals

Pathe Ciss: 1+ goals

Mujaid Sadick: 1+ goals

Mujaid Sadick: 1+ goals

Jorge De Frutos: 1+ goals

Jorge De Frutos: 1+ goals

Ivan Balliu: 1+ goals

Ivan Balliu: 1+ goals

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Pedro Díaz: 1+ goals

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Vallecano vs Bilbao: Goalscorer

Pedro Díaz: 1+ goals

Pedro Díaz: 1+ goals

Pathe Ciss: 1+ goals

Pathe Ciss: 1+ goals

Mujaid Sadick: 1+ goals

Mujaid Sadick: 1+ goals

Jorge De Frutos: 1+ goals

Jorge De Frutos: 1+ goals

Ivan Balliu: 1+ goals

Ivan Balliu: 1+ goals

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