Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)

Name: Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
End: 2026-10-30T12:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$27.11K

Events

Markets

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Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)

Vol

$27.11K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $27.11K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $27.11K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Poly	44%
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?	Poly	30%
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?	Poly	19%
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be less than -0.2%?	Poly	4%
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%?	Poly	3%
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be at least 0.6%?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

44%

Top Probability

$27.11K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending August 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for August 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm If the specified release is not published, this market wil

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 30, 2026 (19 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending August 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for August 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026.

The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm

If the specified release is not published, this market wil

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending August 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for August 2026, scheduled for release on October 30,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $27.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.4K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 19.59)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be less than -0.2%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $952
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $863
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $11.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $6.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $6.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be at least 0.6%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 30, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy