GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

What sector will OpenAI be assigned to?

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What sector will OpenAI be assigned to?

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Will OpenAI be assigned to Information Technology?

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Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will OpenAI be assigned to Information Technology?	Kalshi	86%
Will OpenAI be assigned to Unassigned?	Kalshi	10%
Will OpenAI be assigned to Industrials?	Kalshi	3%
Will OpenAI be assigned to Communication Services?	Kalshi	3%
Will OpenAI be assigned to Real Estate?	Kalshi	2%
Will OpenAI be assigned to Financials?	Kalshi	2%
Will OpenAI be assigned to Consumer Discretionary?	Kalshi	2%
Will OpenAI be assigned to Utilities?	Kalshi	1%
Will OpenAI be assigned to Materials?	Kalshi	1%
Will OpenAI be assigned to Health Care?	Kalshi	1%
Will OpenAI be assigned to Energy?	Kalshi	1%
Will OpenAI be assigned to Consumer Staples?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

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86%

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About This Event

before January 1, 2028 If OpenAI is assigned X sector, then the market resolves to Yes. If OpenAI is assigned to more than one sector by the GICS, then "Yes" holders for any attributed sector will receive $1/number of sectors and "No" holders for those sectors will receive $1 minus "Yes" payout. This market will close early if OpenAI is assigned to a sector by the GICS.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What sector will OpenAI be assigned to?
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** before January 1, 2028

If OpenAI is assigned X sector, then the market resolves to Yes. If OpenAI is assigned to more than one sector by the GICS, then "Yes" holders for any attributed sector will receive $1/number of sectors and "No" holders for those sectors will receive $1 minus "Yes" payout. This market will close early if OpenAI is assigned to a sector by the GICS.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If OpenAI is assigned to the Utilities sector, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If OpenAI is assigned to more than one sector by the GICS, then "Yes" holders for any attributed sector will receive $1/number of sectors and "No" holders for those sectors will receive $1 minus "Yes" pa"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will OpenAI be assigned to Utilities?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will OpenAI be assigned to Unassigned?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will OpenAI be assigned to Real Estate?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will OpenAI be assigned to Materials?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will OpenAI be assigned to Information Technology?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will OpenAI be assigned to Industrials?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will OpenAI be assigned to Health Care?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will OpenAI be assigned to Financials?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will OpenAI be assigned to Energy?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will OpenAI be assigned to Consumer Staples?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will OpenAI be assigned to Consumer Discretionary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will OpenAI be assigned to Communication Services?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 18, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

What sector will OpenAI be assigned to?

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KALSHI

Will OpenAI be assigned to Information Technology?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.0¢No 14.0¢

KALSHITech

Will OpenAI be assigned to Information Technology?

If OpenAI is assigned to the Information Technology sector, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If OpenAI is assigned to more than one sector by the GICS, then "Yes" holders for any attributed sector will receive $1/number of sectors and "No" holders for those sectors will receive $1 m

KALSHI

Will OpenAI be assigned to Unassigned?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

KALSHITech

Will OpenAI be assigned to Unassigned?

If OpenAI is assigned to the Unassigned sector, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If OpenAI is assigned to more than one sector by the GICS, then "Yes" holders for any attributed sector will receive $1/number of sectors and "No" holders for those sectors will receive $1 minus "Yes" p

KALSHI

Will OpenAI be assigned to Industrials?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHITech

Will OpenAI be assigned to Industrials?

If OpenAI is assigned to the Industrials sector, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If OpenAI is assigned to more than one sector by the GICS, then "Yes" holders for any attributed sector will receive $1/number of sectors and "No" holders for those sectors will receive $1 minus "Yes"

KALSHI

Will OpenAI be assigned to Communication Services?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHITech

Will OpenAI be assigned to Communication Services?

If OpenAI is assigned to the Communication Services sector, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If OpenAI is assigned to more than one sector by the GICS, then "Yes" holders for any attributed sector will receive $1/number of sectors and "No" holders for those sectors will receive $1 m

KALSHI

Will OpenAI be assigned to Real Estate?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

KALSHITech

Will OpenAI be assigned to Real Estate?

If OpenAI is assigned to the Real Estate sector, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If OpenAI is assigned to more than one sector by the GICS, then "Yes" holders for any attributed sector will receive $1/number of sectors and "No" holders for those sectors will receive $1 minus "Yes"

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Will OpenAI be assigned to Information Technology?

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What sector will OpenAI be assigned to?

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Will OpenAI be assigned to Information Technology?

Will OpenAI be assigned to Information Technology?

Will OpenAI be assigned to Unassigned?

Will OpenAI be assigned to Unassigned?

Will OpenAI be assigned to Industrials?

Will OpenAI be assigned to Industrials?

Will OpenAI be assigned to Communication Services?

Will OpenAI be assigned to Communication Services?

Will OpenAI be assigned to Real Estate?

Will OpenAI be assigned to Real Estate?

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Will OpenAI be assigned to Information Technology?

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What sector will OpenAI be assigned to?

Will OpenAI be assigned to Information Technology?

Will OpenAI be assigned to Information Technology?

Will OpenAI be assigned to Unassigned?

Will OpenAI be assigned to Unassigned?

Will OpenAI be assigned to Industrials?

Will OpenAI be assigned to Industrials?

Will OpenAI be assigned to Communication Services?

Will OpenAI be assigned to Communication Services?

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