Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?

Total Volume

$262.37K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?

Vol

$262.37K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $262.37K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $262.37K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

26 markets tracked

Will average gas prices be above $3.20?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(26)

Market	Platform	Price
Will average gas prices be above $3.20?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $3.10?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $3.00?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $2.90?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $2.80?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $2.70?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $2.60?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $2.50?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $3.30?	Kalshi	99%
Will average gas prices be above $3.70?	Kalshi	99%
Will average gas prices be above $3.60?	Kalshi	99%
Will average gas prices be above $3.50?	Kalshi	99%
Will average gas prices be above $3.40?	Kalshi	99%
Will average gas prices be above $3.80?	Kalshi	98%
Will average gas prices be above $3.90?	Kalshi	95%
Will average gas prices be above $4.00?	Kalshi	89%
Will average gas prices be above $4.10?	Kalshi	81%
Will average gas prices be above $4.20?	Kalshi	75%
Will average gas prices be above $4.30?	Kalshi	56%
Will average gas prices be above $4.40?	Kalshi	31%
Will average gas prices be above $4.50?	Kalshi	17%
Will average gas prices be above $4.60?	Kalshi	10%
Will average gas prices be above $4.70?	Kalshi	6%
Will average gas prices be above $4.80?	Kalshi	5%
Will average gas prices be above $4.90?	Kalshi	4%
Will average gas prices be above $5.00?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$262.37K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Oct 31, 2026 If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than X on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 31, 2026

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than X on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $5.00 on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $262.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will average **gas prices** be above $5.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $15.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.90?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $9.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.80?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $8.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.70?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $12.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.60?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $13.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $11.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.40?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $12.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.30?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $9.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.20?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $5.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.10?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $9.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $8.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.90?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $6.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.80?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $21.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.70?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $7.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.60?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $9.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $15.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.40?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $6.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.30?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $16.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $8.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $6.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $8.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will average **gas prices** be above $2.90?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $8.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will average **gas prices** be above $2.80?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will average **gas prices** be above $2.70?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $8.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will average **gas prices** be above $2.60?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $6.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will average **gas prices** be above $2.50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $11.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?

On Oct 31, 2026 If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than X on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$262.37K

Markets26

26 of 26

Sort:

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $3.20?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $3.20?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.20 on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $3.10?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $3.10?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.10 on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $3.00?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $3.00?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.00 on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $2.90?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $2.90?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.90 on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $2.80?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $2.80?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.80 on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

71¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/MeZXpQ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?"></iframe>

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Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?

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Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?

Markets (26)

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00?

Will average **gas prices** be above $2.90?

Will average **gas prices** be above $2.90?

Will average **gas prices** be above $2.80?

Will average **gas prices** be above $2.80?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

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Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00?

Will average **gas prices** be above $2.90?

Will average **gas prices** be above $2.90?

Will average **gas prices** be above $2.80?

Will average **gas prices** be above $2.80?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget

Will average gas prices be above $3.20?

Will average gas prices be above $3.20?

Will average gas prices be above $3.20?

Will average gas prices be above $3.10?

Will average gas prices be above $3.10?

Will average gas prices be above $3.00?

Will average gas prices be above $3.00?

Will average gas prices be above $2.90?

Will average gas prices be above $2.90?

Will average gas prices be above $2.80?

Will average gas prices be above $2.80?

Will average gas prices be above $3.20?

Will average gas prices be above $3.20?

Will average gas prices be above $3.20?

Will average gas prices be above $3.10?

Will average gas prices be above $3.10?

Will average gas prices be above $3.00?

Will average gas prices be above $3.00?

Will average gas prices be above $2.90?

Will average gas prices be above $2.90?

Will average gas prices be above $2.80?

Will average gas prices be above $2.80?