GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Maine Senate Exact Outcome

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Maine Senate Exact Outcome

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?	Kalshi	63%
Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?	Kalshi	37%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

63%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Jan 2027 If ALL of the following occur for before Jan 2027: X then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Dem Nominee, SENATEPARTYNOM, General Election Winner, SENATEPARTY. All conditions must be satisfied before Jan 20

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Maine Senate Exact Outcome
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 2027

If ALL of the following occur for before Jan 2027: X then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Dem Nominee, SENATEPARTYNOM, General Election Winner, SENATEPARTY. All conditions must be satisfied before Jan 20

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If ALL of the following occur for before Jan 2027: Dem Nominee: Graham Platner, General Election Winner: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Maine Senate Exact Outcome

Volume$0.00

Markets2

2 of 2

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.5¢No 37.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?

If ALL of the following occur for before Jan 2027: Dem Nominee: Graham Platner, General Election Winner: Democrat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to

KALSHI

Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?

If ALL of the following occur for before Jan 2027: Dem Nominee: Graham Platner, General Election Winner: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

50¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Mjgeqp" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Maine Senate Exact Outcome"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Maine Senate Exact Outcome

Maine Senate Exact Outcome

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Maine Senate Exact Outcome

Markets (2)

Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?

Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?

Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?

Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Maine Senate Exact Outcome

Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?

Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Democrat for Jan 2027?

Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?

Will Dem Nominee be Graham Platner AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget