Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETOther

Precipitation in Seoul in October?

Name: Precipitation in Seoul in October?
End: 2027-01-08T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$20.51K

Events

Markets

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Precipitation in Seoul in October?

Vol

$20.51K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $20.51K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $20.51K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?	Poly	24%
Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?	Poly	20%
Will Seoul have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?	Poly	20%
Will Seoul have between 30-40mm of precipitation in October?	Poly	18%
Will Seoul have between 20-30mm of precipitation in October?	Poly	13%
Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	Poly	10%
Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?	Poly	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

24%

Top Probability

$20.51K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in October, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Precipitation in Seoul in October?
**Category:** Other | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 8, 2027 (89 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in October, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in October, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher r"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $20.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.8K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.34)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $8.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Seoul have between 20-30mm of precipitation in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Seoul have between 30-40mm of precipitation in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Seoul have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $419
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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