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Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?

Name: Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?
End: 2026-10-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$56.59K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?

Vol

$56.59K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $56.59K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $56.59K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	77%
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	19%
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	2%
Will SpaceXAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Xiaomi have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Nvidia have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	0%
Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	0%
Will MiniMax have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Amazon have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	0%
Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Tencent have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	0%
Will StepFun have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

77%

Top Probability

$56.59K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered p

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 1, 2026 (26 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered p

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leader"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $56.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $37.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.50)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $16.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $8.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will SpaceXAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $527
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $18.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $642
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Xiaomi have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $469
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Nvidia have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $499
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $565
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will MiniMax have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $458
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $466
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Amazon have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $450
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $449
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $459
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Tencent have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $609
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will StepFun have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $518
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $599
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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