Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

National League MVP Finalists

Total Volume

$25.35K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

National League MVP Finalists

Vol

$25.35K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $25.35K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $25.35K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

31 markets tracked

Will Shohei Ohtani be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(31)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Shohei Ohtani be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	99%
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	98%
Will Elly De La Cruz be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	42%
Will Jacob Misiorowski be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	29%
Will Kyle Schwarber be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	14%
Will Matt Olson be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	13%
Will James Wood be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	6%
Will Brice Turang be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	5%
Will Jackson Chourio be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	4%
Will Corbin Carroll be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	3%
Will Paul Skenes be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	3%
Will Juan Soto be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	3%
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	3%
Will Willy Adames be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Ronald Acuña Jr. be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Oneil Cruz be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Nico Hoerner be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Max Muncy (LAD) be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Michael Harris be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Michael Busch be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Luis Robert be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Kyle Tucker be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Ketel Marte be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jordan Walker be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jackson Merrill be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Geraldo Perdomo be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Freddie Freeman be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Drake Baldwin be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Christian Yelich be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Bryce Harper be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Bo Bichette be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$25.35K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

National League MVP (2026) If X is selected as a finalist for National League MVP in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for National League MVP as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event that finalists are not announced and reported by one of the Source Agencies prior to the award winner being announced, then all markets resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed b

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** National League MVP Finalists
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** National League MVP (2026)

If X is selected as a finalist for National League MVP in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for National League MVP as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event that finalists are not announced and reported by one of the Source Agencies prior to the award winner being announced, then all markets resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed b

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Jacob Misiorowski is selected as a finalist for National League MVP in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for National League MVP as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event that f"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $25.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jacob Misiorowski be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Willy Adames be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Shohei Ohtani be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ronald Acuña Jr. be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Paul Skenes be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Pete Crow-Armstrong be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Oneil Cruz be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Nico Hoerner be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Matt Olson be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Max Muncy (LAD) be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Michael Harris be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Michael Busch be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Luis Robert be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Kyle Tucker be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Kyle Schwarber be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Ketel Marte be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will James Wood be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Jordan Walker be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $281
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Juan Soto be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Jackson Merrill be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Jackson Chourio be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $698
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Geraldo Perdomo be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Fernando Tatis Jr. be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $203
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Freddie Freeman be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Elly De La Cruz be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Drake Baldwin be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Christian Yelich be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Corbin Carroll be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Brice Turang be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $612
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Bryce Harper be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $94
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Bo Bichette be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

National League MVP Finalists

Volume$25.35K

Markets31

31 of 31

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KALSHI

Will Shohei Ohtani be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Shohei Ohtani be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

If Shohei Ohtani is selected as a finalist for National League MVP in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for National League MVP as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event that final

KALSHI

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

If Pete Crow-Armstrong is selected as a finalist for National League MVP in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for National League MVP as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event that

KALSHI

Will Elly De La Cruz be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.5¢No 58.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Elly De La Cruz be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

If Elly De La Cruz is selected as a finalist for National League MVP in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for National League MVP as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event that fin

KALSHI

Will Jacob Misiorowski be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 28.5¢No 71.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Jacob Misiorowski be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

If Jacob Misiorowski is selected as a finalist for National League MVP in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for National League MVP as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event that f

KALSHI

Will Kyle Schwarber be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Kyle Schwarber be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

If Kyle Schwarber is selected as a finalist for National League MVP in the 2026 Pro Baseball season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on who is selected as a finalist for National League MVP as reported by one of the Source Agencies. In the event that fina

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11¢

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National League MVP Finalists

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Will Shohei Ohtani be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

National League MVP Finalists

Markets (31)

Will Shohei Ohtani be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Shohei Ohtani be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Elly De La Cruz be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Elly De La Cruz be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Jacob Misiorowski be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Jacob Misiorowski be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Kyle Schwarber be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Kyle Schwarber be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will Shohei Ohtani be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

National League MVP Finalists

Will Shohei Ohtani be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Shohei Ohtani be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Elly De La Cruz be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Elly De La Cruz be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Jacob Misiorowski be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Jacob Misiorowski be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Kyle Schwarber be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

Will Kyle Schwarber be selected as a finalist for the Pro Baseball National League MVP in the 2026 season?

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Discussion

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