Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Bank of Thailand rate decision in October

Total Volume

$2.43K

Events

Markets

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Bank of Thailand rate decision in October

Vol

$2.43K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.43K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.43K

100%

Kalshi leads

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5 markets tracked

Will the Bank of Thailand maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Bank of Thailand maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?	Kalshi	92%
Will the Bank of Thailand cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?	Kalshi	8%
Will the Bank of Thailand hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?	Kalshi	3%
Will the Bank of Thailand hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?	Kalshi	2%
Will the Bank of Thailand cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

92%

Top Probability

$2.43K

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About This Event

Oct 28, 2026 meeting If the Bank of Thailand takes the action of X more than 25bps at its October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bank of Thailand rate decision in October
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Oct 28, 2026 meeting

If the Bank of Thailand takes the action of X more than 25bps at its October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "Maintain current rate" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Bank of Thailand takes the action of maintain current rate at its October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy r"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Bank of Thailand maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $526
  DATA: [Yes: 92.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Bank of Thailand hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $400
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Bank of Thailand hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Bank of Thailand cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $700
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Bank of Thailand cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 4, 2026): Vol $600
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Bank of Thailand rate decision in October

Volume$2.43K

Markets5

5 of 5

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KALSHI

Will the Bank of Thailand maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.0¢No 8.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Bank of Thailand maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

If the Bank of Thailand takes the action of maintain current rate at its October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy r

KALSHI

Will the Bank of Thailand cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Bank of Thailand cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

If the Bank of Thailand takes the action of cut 1-25bps at its October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only

KALSHI

Will the Bank of Thailand hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Bank of Thailand hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

If the Bank of Thailand takes the action of hike 1-25bps at its October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, onl

KALSHI

Will the Bank of Thailand hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.5¢No 98.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Bank of Thailand hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

If the Bank of Thailand takes the action of hike more than 25bps at its October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy ra

KALSHI

Will the Bank of Thailand cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the Bank of Thailand cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

If the Bank of Thailand takes the action of cut more than 25bps at its October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rat

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21¢

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Bank of Thailand rate decision in October

Bank of Thailand rate decision in October

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Will the Bank of Thailand maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

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Events (1)

Bank of Thailand rate decision in October

Markets (5)

Will the Bank of Thailand maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Will the Bank of Thailand maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Will the Bank of Thailand cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Will the Bank of Thailand cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Will the Bank of Thailand hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Will the Bank of Thailand hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Will the Bank of Thailand hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Will the Bank of Thailand hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Will the Bank of Thailand cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Will the Bank of Thailand cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

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Will the Bank of Thailand maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Bank of Thailand rate decision in October

Will the Bank of Thailand maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Will the Bank of Thailand maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Will the Bank of Thailand cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Will the Bank of Thailand cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Will the Bank of Thailand hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Will the Bank of Thailand hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Will the Bank of Thailand hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Will the Bank of Thailand hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Will the Bank of Thailand cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Will the Bank of Thailand cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Policy Committee Meeting?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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