Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Košice Mayoral Election Winner

Name: Košice Mayoral Election Winner
End: 2026-10-25T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$8.04K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Košice Mayoral Election Winner

Vol

$8.04K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $8.04K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $8.04K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	Poly	54%
Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	Poly	26%
Will Lenka Kovačevičová win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	Poly	17%
Will Martin Mudrák win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	Poly	4%
Will Miroslav Sabol win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	Poly	1%
Will Alexander Riabov win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

54%

Top Probability

$8.04K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2026 Košice mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Košice as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Košice Mayoral Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 25, 2026 (14 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** The 2026 Košice mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Košice as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 Košice mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Košice as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be conside"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $8.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $40.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.20)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Lenka Kovačevičová win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $407
  DATA: [Yes: 16.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.2% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Martin Mudrák win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $494
  DATA: [Yes: 4.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.6% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Miroslav Sabol win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Alexander Riabov win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $351
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics