Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Where will it rain on October 13?

Name: Where will it rain on October 13?
End: 2026-10-14T18:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$373.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Where will it rain on October 13?

Vol

$373.00

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $373.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $373.00

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 13?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 13?	Poly	86%
Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 13?	Poly	52%
Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 13?	Poly	38%
Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 13?	Poly	33%
Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 13?	Poly	8%
Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 13?	Poly	7%
Will it rain in New York, NY on October 13?	Poly	6%
Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 13?	Poly	4%
Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 13?	Poly	2%
Will it rain in Washington, DC on October 13?	Poly	2%
Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on October 13?	Poly	2%
Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 13?	Poly	2%
Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on October 13?	Poly	2%
Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 13?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

86%

Top Probability

$373.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on October 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The ob

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Where will it rain on October 13?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 14, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on October 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.

A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.

The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.

The ob

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York, NY records measurable precipitation on October 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's s"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $373
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.15)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will it rain in New York, NY on October 13?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 13?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 13?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 13?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $6
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 13?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 13?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 13?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will it rain in Washington, DC on October 13?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on October 13?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 13?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 13?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $107
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.6% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 13?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 13?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on October 13?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech

Where will it rain on October 13?

Volume$373.00

Markets14

14 of 14

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 13?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 85.5¢No 14.5¢

POLYMARKETTech

CLOSING SOON

Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 13?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Boston, MA records measurable precipitation on October 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's sta

POLYMARKET

Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 13?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

POLYMARKETTech

CLOSING SOON

Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 13?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoenix, AZ records measurable precipitation on October 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's st

POLYMARKET

Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 13?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

POLYMARKETTech

CLOSING SOON

Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 13?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houston, TX records measurable precipitation on October 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's st

POLYMARKET

Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 13?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢

POLYMARKETTech

CLOSING SOON

Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 13?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chicago, IL records measurable precipitation on October 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's st

POLYMARKET

Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 13?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

POLYMARKETTech

CLOSING SOON

Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 13?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Miami, FL records measurable precipitation on October 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's stat

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Next Market Closes

Calculating time remaining…

Oct 14, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

17¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/MyuzJ8" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Where will it rain on October 13?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

Where will it rain on October 13?

Where will it rain on October 13?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 13?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Where will it rain on October 13?

Markets (14)

Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 13?

Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 13?

Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 13?

Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 13?

Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 13?

Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 13?

Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 13?

Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 13?

Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 13?

Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 13?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Next Market Closes

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 13?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Where will it rain on October 13?

Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 13?

Will it rain in Boston, MA on October 13?

Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 13?

Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 13?

Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 13?

Will it rain in Houston, TX on October 13?

Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 13?

Will it rain in Chicago, IL on October 13?

Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 13?

Will it rain in Miami, FL on October 13?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Next Market Closes

Share

Embed Widget