$20.18
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$20.18
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Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This event is for the upcoming Super Rugby Pacific match between Hurricanes and Western Force, scheduled for March 13 2026.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic concerns the outcome of a Super Rugby Pacific match scheduled for March 13, 2026, between the Hurricanes, based in Wellington, New Zealand, and the Western Force, based in Perth, Australia. Super Rugby Pacific is the premier professional rugby union club competition in the Southern Hemisphere, featuring teams from New Zealand, Australia, and the Pacific Islands. The match is a regular season fixture within the tournament's round-robin format, where results contribute to league standings and qualification for the playoffs. Prediction markets allow participants to trade contracts based on their forecasts of the match result, creating a real-time probability estimate of each possible outcome. The Hurricanes are one of New Zealand's five Super Rugby franchises and have historically been one of the competition's stronger teams. The Western Force, one of Australia's five teams, rejoined the competition in 2020 after a period of exclusion. The 2026 season will be the sixth edition of the unified Super Rugby Pacific format, which began in 2022. Interest in this specific match stems from the competitive dynamics between New Zealand and Australian teams, the historical performance gap between the two franchises, and the implications for each team's playoff aspirations midway through the season. People engage with this prediction market for several reasons. Sports bettors and analysts use the market odds as a sophisticated form of consensus forecasting. Fans of either team may trade to back their side or hedge their emotional investment. The market also attracts general sports trading enthusiasts who follow form, team news, and player availability. The data generated by trading activity can reveal how the public and informed participants assess the relative strengths of the two teams closer to the match date, incorporating factors like injuries, travel schedules, and recent results.
The Hurricanes franchise was founded in 1996 for the inaugural Super 12 season. They won their first and only Super Rugby title in 2016, defeating the Lions in the final. Historically, they have been a prolific attacking side, producing All Blacks like Tana Umaga, Ma'a Nonu, and Beauden Barrett. Their record against Australian teams is generally strong, reflecting the historical dominance of New Zealand sides in trans-Tasman rugby contests. The Western Force entered Super Rugby in 2006 as Australia's fourth franchise. The team struggled for consistent success and was controversially cut from the competition in 2017 as part of a restructuring by SANZAAR. Following a strong advocacy campaign and a period in other competitions, the Force was reinstated to the main competition in 2020, initially joining the New Zealand-based Super Rugby Aotearoa bubble due to COVID-19 travel restrictions. This led to the formation of Super Rugby Pacific in 2022. The head-to-head history between these two teams is heavily skewed. From their first meeting in 2006 through the 2024 season, the Hurricanes have dominated the fixture. For example, in the 2024 season, the Hurricanes defeated the Force 45-42 in a high-scoring match in Perth, and 41-6 in Wellington. The Force's only victory against the Hurricanes came in 2007, a 23-22 win in Perth. This lopsided history is a fundamental data point for prediction market analysis.
Beyond the immediate sporting contest, this match and its prediction market reflect broader trends in professional rugby. The financial health of Super Rugby Pacific depends on competitive matches and strong viewership, particularly in the critical Australian market. A consistently uncompetitive Western Force could affect broadcast revenue and fan engagement across the Tasman. The match is a barometer for the success of Rugby Australia's investment in its Super Rugby franchises and their ability to challenge New Zealand's dominance. The outcome also has implications for player development and international rugby. Strong performances by Force players against a top New Zealand side can bolster their cases for Wallabies selection. For the Hurricanes, maintaining a winning record against Australian teams is expected domestically and reinforces the production pipeline for the All Blacks. Economically, a successful Force team boosts local business in Perth and strengthens the case for Western Australia's place in the national sporting landscape.
As of the 2024 season, the Hurricanes are a top-tier team in Super Rugby Pacific, finishing as minor premiers and reaching the semi-finals. The Western Force showed some improvement, securing more wins than in 2023 but still finishing in 8th place. The specific team rosters, coaching staff, and player form for the 2026 season are not yet known, as player contracts and transfers will occur throughout 2025. The match is scheduled for the middle of the 2026 season, likely between rounds 6 and 10 of the 15-round regular season. The latest developments relevant to this future fixture will be the results of the 2025 Super Rugby Pacific season and any significant player signings or departures announced for the 2026 campaign.
The specific venue for the March 13, 2026 match has not been officially announced as of 2024. Based on the typical alternating home-and-away schedule, and given the Force hosted in 2024, it is likely the 2026 match will be played at Sky Stadium in Wellington, New Zealand. The official schedule for the 2026 season will be released in late 2025.
The kickoff time for the March 13, 2026 match will be confirmed when the full season schedule is released. For reference, matches in New Zealand (NZDT) typically start in the evening, such as 7:05 PM local time. This converts to an afternoon start in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), often around 4:05 or 5:05 PM.
Broadcast rights are subject to renewal. Currently, in New Zealand, all Super Rugby Pacific matches are broadcast on Sky Sport. In Australia, the matches are broadcast on Stan Sport. Free-to-air highlights are often shown on TVNZ in New Zealand and the Nine Network in Australia. International viewers can access the matches via the competition's streaming partner.
Based on historical records and recent form, the Hurricanes are heavily favoured. They have won 17 of the 18 all-time meetings, including two convincing wins in the 2024 season. Prediction markets and sportsbooks will likely install the Hurricanes as significant favourites, especially if the match is played in Wellington.
Yes, but only once. The Western Force defeated the Hurricanes 23-22 on April 13, 2007, at Subiaco Oval in Perth. Since that victory, the Hurricanes have won 14 consecutive matches against the Force across 17 years.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
3 markets tracked
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| Market | Platform | Price |
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| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 50% |
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