Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Game Spread

Total Volume

$1.10K

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Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Game Spread

Vol

$1.10K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.10K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.10K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will Learner Tien win at least 1.5 more games than Casper Ruud?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Learner Tien win at least 1.5 more games than Casper Ruud?	Kalshi	54%
Will Casper Ruud win at least 1.5 more games than Learner Tien?	Kalshi	37%
Will Learner Tien win at least 4.5 more games than Casper Ruud?	Kalshi	28%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

54%

Top Probability

$1.10K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud (Oct 12) If the game differential in favor of Learner Tien across the full match is above X games in the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Game Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud (Oct 12)

If the game differential in favor of Learner Tien across the full match is above X games in the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the game differential in favor of Learner Tien across the full match is above 4.5 games in the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Learner Tien vs Casper Ru"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Learner Tien win at least 4.5 more games than Casper Ruud?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Learner Tien win at least 1.5 more games than Casper Ruud?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Casper Ruud win at least 1.5 more games than Learner Tien?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Game Spread

Volume$1.10K

Markets3

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KALSHI

Will Learner Tien win at least 1.5 more games than Casper Ruud?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Learner Tien win at least 1.5 more games than Casper Ruud?

If the game differential in favor of Learner Tien across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Learner Tien vs Casper Ru

KALSHI

Will Casper Ruud win at least 1.5 more games than Learner Tien?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Casper Ruud win at least 1.5 more games than Learner Tien?

If the game differential in favor of Casper Ruud across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruu

KALSHI

Will Learner Tien win at least 4.5 more games than Casper Ruud?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 28.0¢No 72.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Learner Tien win at least 4.5 more games than Casper Ruud?

If the game differential in favor of Learner Tien across the full match is above 4.5 games in the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Learner Tien vs Casper Ru

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40¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/N4YdYA" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Game Spread"></iframe>

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Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Game Spread

Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Game Spread

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Will Learner Tien win at least 1.5 more games than Casper Ruud?

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Events (1)

Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Game Spread

Markets (3)

Will Learner Tien win at least 1.5 more games than Casper Ruud?

Will Learner Tien win at least 1.5 more games than Casper Ruud?

Will Casper Ruud win at least 1.5 more games than Learner Tien?

Will Casper Ruud win at least 1.5 more games than Learner Tien?

Will Learner Tien win at least 4.5 more games than Casper Ruud?

Will Learner Tien win at least 4.5 more games than Casper Ruud?

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Will Learner Tien win at least 1.5 more games than Casper Ruud?

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Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Game Spread

Will Learner Tien win at least 1.5 more games than Casper Ruud?

Will Learner Tien win at least 1.5 more games than Casper Ruud?

Will Casper Ruud win at least 1.5 more games than Learner Tien?

Will Casper Ruud win at least 1.5 more games than Learner Tien?

Will Learner Tien win at least 4.5 more games than Casper Ruud?

Will Learner Tien win at least 4.5 more games than Casper Ruud?

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