Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Winner

Total Volume

$45.91

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Markets

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Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Winner

Vol

$45.91

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $45.91

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $45.91

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Bahia wins 1st Half

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Bahia wins 1st Half	Kalshi	45%
Tie 1st Half	Kalshi	38%
Mirassol wins 1st Half	Kalshi	19%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

45%

Top Probability

$45.91

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

BAH vs MIR (Oct 11) If X is the Y of the first half in the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the X of the first half in the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. If no goals are scored during the half, or the teams score an equal num

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** BAH vs MIR (Oct 11)

If X is the Y of the first half in the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the X of the first half in the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. If no goals are scored during the half, or the teams score an equal num

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the first half in the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the result of the first half in the "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $46
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Mirassol wins 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Bahia wins 1st Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $46
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Winner

Volume$45.91

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Bahia wins 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Bahia wins 1st Half

If Bahia is the winner of the first half in the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the winner of the first half in th

KALSHI

Tie 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Tie 1st Half

If Tie is the result of the first half in the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the result of the first half in the

KALSHI

Mirassol wins 1st Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Mirassol wins 1st Half

If Mirassol is the winner of the first half in the Bahia vs Mirassol professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the winner of the first half in

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Average Yes Price

34¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/N5rxNW" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Winner"></iframe>

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Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Winner

Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Winner

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Bahia wins 1st Half

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Winner

Markets (3)

Bahia wins 1st Half

Bahia wins 1st Half

Tie 1st Half

Tie 1st Half

Mirassol wins 1st Half

Mirassol wins 1st Half

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Bahia wins 1st Half

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Bahia vs Mirassol: First Half Winner

Bahia wins 1st Half

Bahia wins 1st Half

Tie 1st Half

Tie 1st Half

Mirassol wins 1st Half

Mirassol wins 1st Half

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