Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Israel Election: Together vote share?

Name: Israel Election: Together vote share?
End: 2026-10-27T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.35K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Israel Election: Together vote share?

Vol

$2.35K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.35K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.35K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Poly	33%
Will Together win 7-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Poly	29%
Will Together win less than 7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Poly	23%
Will Together win 11-13% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Poly	18%
Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Poly	13%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

33%

Top Probability

$2.35K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Togethe

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Israel Election: Together vote share?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 27, 2026 (16 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.

The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.

If Togethe

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.

The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's pa"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.0K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.16)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Together win less than 7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $535
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Together win 7-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $389
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Together win 9-11% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $693
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Together win 11-13% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $606
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 30, 2026): Vol $125
  DATA: [Yes: 12.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld