$829.74
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3
$829.74
1
3
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This event is for the upcoming Eredivisie game, scheduled for Sunday, January 18, 2026 between Feyenoord Rotterdam and Sparta Rotterdam.
Prediction markets currently price a Feyenoord Rotterdam victory at 69%. This indicates a strong, but not overwhelming, consensus that the home side will secure three points. With a probability just under 7 in 10, the market views a Feyenoord win as the most likely outcome, though it still assigns a significant 31% combined chance to a Sparta draw or upset. The thin trading volume of approximately $1,000 across related markets suggests this price is preliminary and could be sensitive to new information.
The primary factor is the stark historical and qualitative gap between these Rotterdam rivals. Feyenoord is a perennial title contender with superior squad talent and typically dominates this fixture, especially at their home stadium, De Kuip. Sparta Rotterdam, while often resilient, typically battles in the lower half of the Eredivisie table and lacks the firepower of their city rivals. The market's 69% price essentially quantifies this established hierarchy. Furthermore, with the match being a derby, the odds likely incorporate a slight discount for the unpredictable intensity such games can bring, preventing the price from rising into the 75-80% range.
The most immediate catalyst will be team news released in the days leading up to the January 18 kickoff. Any significant injury to a key Feyenoord attacker or midfielder could see the probability drop sharply. Conversely, confirmation of a fully fit squad or a key Sparta defender being ruled out could push the price higher. Given the low liquidity, even modest new bets based on this information could move the market meaningfully. The final lineup announcements, typically 60-90 minutes before the match, will be the definitive arbiter for last-minute trading activity.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
The upcoming Eredivisie match between Feyenoord Rotterdam and Sparta Rotterdam, scheduled for Sunday, January 18, 2026, is a significant fixture in Dutch football. This is a Rotterdam derby, a local rivalry between two clubs from the same city, which always carries heightened importance beyond regular league points. Feyenoord, one of the Netherlands' traditional 'Big Three' clubs, is typically the dominant force, while Sparta, the country's oldest professional football club, often assumes the role of the spirited underdog. The match represents a clash of history, prestige, and local bragging rights within the port city. As of the 2025/26 season, both teams are competing in the top flight, with Feyenoord usually aiming for the title or UEFA Champions League qualification, and Sparta typically focused on securing Eredivisie survival and achieving a respectable mid-table finish. The tactical battle between the two managers, the form of key attackers, and the intense atmosphere at De Kuip stadium are all central narratives. This derby is a focal point for the city of Rotterdam, temporarily dividing its football-loving population and generating significant media attention and fan interest across the country. Prediction markets are active for this event because derbies are notoriously unpredictable, form can be secondary to passion, and the outcome has implications for both ends of the Eredivisie table.
The rivalry between Feyenoord and Sparta Rotterdam is one of the oldest in Dutch football, rooted in the social and geographical fabric of the city. Sparta, founded in 1888, is the oldest professional club in the Netherlands. Feyenoord was established later in 1908 and grew to become a national powerhouse. Historically, the rivalry was also seen through a subtle class lens, with Sparta associated with the city's affluent citizens and Feyenoord with the working-class dockworkers, though this distinction has blurred over time. The first official meeting between the two clubs occurred in the 1912/13 season. Feyenoord has historically dominated the fixture in terms of trophies and head-to-head results. A particularly memorable derby occurred on December 22, 2019, when Sparta, newly promoted, defeated Feyenoord 1-0 at home, a major upset. The dynamics of the derby have shifted with Sparta's periods outside the Eredivisie, but since their return to the top flight, these matches have regained consistent significance. The history adds a layer of passion and expectation, with Feyenoord almost always entering as favorites but aware of the potential for a spirited challenge from their historic city rivals.
Beyond the three points, the Rotterdam derby matters for multiple reasons. For the clubs, it is about local supremacy, fan morale, and psychological advantage. A Feyenoord loss to Sparta is considered a major embarrassment, while a Sparta win is celebrated as a legendary achievement, potentially defining their season. For the city, the derby is a major cultural event, engaging tens of thousands of fans and impacting local businesses on matchday. Economically, it guarantees a sold-out stadium, significant broadcasting revenue, and heightened merchandise sales. The result can influence the trajectory of both clubs' seasons. A Feyenoord defeat could damage a title challenge or top-three pursuit, with financial implications for European qualification. For Sparta, a positive result provides a massive confidence boost in their battle for Eredivisie survival, which is worth millions in television and sponsorship money. The derby also serves as a showcase for players to perform under intense pressure, affecting their market value and potential transfers.
As the match approaches in January 2026, both teams are midway through the 2025/26 Eredivisie campaign. Their exact league positions and form will be the primary talking points. Feyenoord is likely to be competing at the top of the table, possibly challenging PSV Eindhoven and Ajax. Sparta Rotterdam will be focused on consolidating their Eredivisie status, likely sitting in the mid-table or lower half. The build-up will be dominated by press conferences from managers Arne Slot and Jeroen Rijsdijk, team news regarding injuries or suspensions, and analysis of each team's tactical approach. The latest developments will include the official squad announcements and any last-minute fitness tests for key players. The match is scheduled to be played at Feyenoord's home ground, Stadion Feijenoord, commonly known as De Kuip.
The match is scheduled for Sunday, January 18, 2026. The precise kick-off time will be confirmed by the Eredivisie and broadcasters closer to the date, but typical Sunday fixtures are often in the early or mid-afternoon.
In the Netherlands, the match will be broadcast live on ESPN, the primary broadcaster for the Eredivisie. International viewers should check local sports broadcasting networks or streaming services that hold Eredivisie rights in their region.
Historically and based on squad quality and resources, Feyenoord is almost always the favorite, especially when playing at home in De Kuip. However, derby matches are known for their unpredictability, and Sparta has occasionally pulled off surprising results.
Feyenoord plays its home matches at Stadion Feijenoord, universally known as De Kuip (The Tub). It is located in Rotterdam and has a capacity of approximately 47,500 spectators.
Sparta Rotterdam has won the Dutch national championship once, in the 1958/59 season. They are the oldest professional club in the country but have not matched the title success of Feyenoord, Ajax, or PSV in the modern era.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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3 markets tracked
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| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 69% |
| Poly | 19% |
| Poly | 13% |
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