Name: Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above___?
End: 2026-01-16T21:00:00.000Z

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Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above___? | PredictPedia

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Polymarket

markets · $148.45K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $148.45K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $30?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $30?	Poly	100%
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $40?	Poly	100%
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $50?	Poly	100%
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $60?	Poly	100%
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $80?	Poly	100%
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $70?	Poly	97%
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $90?	Poly	23%
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $130?	Poly	0%
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $100?	Poly	0%
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $110?	Poly	0%
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $120?	Poly	0%
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $140?	Poly	0%
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $150?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

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100%

Top Probability

$148.45K

Volume

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About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above___?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 16, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $148.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $272.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.55)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $11.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $40?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $8.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $50?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $11.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $60?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $10.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $70?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $10.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $80?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $11.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $90?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $14.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $100?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $17.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $110?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $17.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $120?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $130?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $140?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $23.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $150?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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