Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

GTA VI Online: Release date

Total Volume

$121.75K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

GTA VI Online: Release date

Vol

$121.75K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $121.75K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $121.75K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2028?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2028?	Kalshi	86%
Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before July 2027?	Kalshi	62%
Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2027?	Kalshi	13%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

86%

Top Probability

$121.75K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

GTA VI Online If Rockstar Games releases GTA VI Online to the public before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. For this market, “GTA VI Online” means an online multiplayer mode or service for Grand Theft Auto VI, whether bundled with the base game or separately distributed and regardless of the name Rockstar Games uses. It is released when the general U.S. public can access and play it on at least one supported platform. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** GTA VI Online: Release date
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** GTA VI Online

If Rockstar Games releases GTA VI Online to the public before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. For this market, “GTA VI Online” means an online multiplayer mode or service for Grand Theft Auto VI, whether bundled with the base game or separately distributed and regardless of the name Rockstar Games uses. It is released when the general U.S. public can access and play it on at least one supported platform. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Rockstar Games releases GTA VI Online to the public before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this market, “GTA VI Online” means an online multiplayer mode or service for Grand Theft Auto VI, whether bundled with the base game or separately distributed and regardle"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $121.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before July 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 8, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $117.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

GTA VI Online: Release date

Volume$121.75K

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.0¢No 14.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2028?

If Rockstar Games releases GTA VI Online to the public before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this market, “GTA VI Online” means an online multiplayer mode or service for Grand Theft Auto VI, whether bundled with the base game or separately distributed and regardle

KALSHI

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before July 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 61.5¢No 38.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before July 2027?

If Rockstar Games releases GTA VI Online to the public before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this market, “GTA VI Online” means an online multiplayer mode or service for Grand Theft Auto VI, whether bundled with the base game or separately distributed and regardle

KALSHI

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2027?

If Rockstar Games releases GTA VI Online to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For this market, “GTA VI Online” means an online multiplayer mode or service for Grand Theft Auto VI, whether bundled with the base game or separately distributed and regardle

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

53¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/NSGq4i" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="GTA VI Online: Release date"></iframe>

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GTA VI Online: Release date

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Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2028?

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Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

GTA VI Online: Release date

Markets (3)

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2028?

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2028?

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before July 2027?

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before July 2027?

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2027?

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2027?

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Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2028?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

GTA VI Online: Release date

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2028?

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2028?

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before July 2027?

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before July 2027?

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2027?

Will Rockstar Games release GTA VI Online to the public before 2027?

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