Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Name: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
End: 2026-10-19T02:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$23.78K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Vol

$23.78K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $23.78K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $23.78K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	83%
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	56%
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	56%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime	Poly	53%
Set Handicap: Felix Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+1.5)	Poly	53%
Game Spread: Felix Auger-Aliassime (-3.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+3.5)	Poly	52%
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	47%
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	40%
Set 2 Winner: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime	Poly	38%
Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	34%
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	34%
Set 1 Winner: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime	Poly	31%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime	Poly	26%
Set Handicap: Pablo Carreno Busta (-1.5) vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)	Poly	14%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

83%

Top Probability

$23.78K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime. This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been de

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime.

This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Pablo Carreno Busta.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been de

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime.

This"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $23.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $324.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.07)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $23.7K
  DATA: [Pablo Carreno Busta: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [Felix Auger-Aliassime: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Pablo Carreno Busta: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [Felix Auger-Aliassime: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Pablo Carreno Busta: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [Felix Auger-Aliassime: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $27
  DATA: [Over: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Pablo Carreno Busta (-1.5) vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Pablo Carreno Busta: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [Felix Auger-Aliassime: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Set Handicap: Felix Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $33
  DATA: [Felix Auger-Aliassime: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [Pablo Carreno Busta: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game Spread: Felix Auger-Aliassime (-3.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+3.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Felix Auger-Aliassime: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [Pablo Carreno Busta: 48.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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