Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
PM $251.0K
1
8
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
PM $251.0K
1
8
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is The Odyssey at 83.5%.
Polymarket
- The Odyssey83.5%
- Dune: Messiah11%
- Wild Horse Nine0.1%
- Project Hail Mary0.1%
- Disclosure Day<0.1%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $251.0K
Reported volume · provider units
8
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event asks which film will receive the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards. The market resolves to the film "nominated for the greatest number of Oscars," and a film counts if "it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film" [1]. Ties go to the film whose title "comes first in alphabetical order" [1].
The contract also sets a fallback. If "no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other"" [1]. The source says the ceremony is "currently expected to take place in March of 2027" [1]. That is an expectation stated in the contract rules, not a confirmed event date. The listed end time is 2027-07-01T03:59:00Z [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-16T00:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-16T02:50:13Z [1]. It describes prices at those times, not live prices now, and the prices are not executable quotes.
The eight included single-film markets show these Yes prices: The Odyssey 0.835, Dune: Messiah 0.103, Wild Horse Nine 0.005, Project Hail Mary 0.003, and five films at 0.0005 (The Social Reckoning, Disclosure Day, Wuthering Heights, and The Bride!) [1]. Read as snapshot prices, The Odyssey carried the highest Yes price among the included markets at that time. The table reflects only this one provider event and says nothing about why prices were set.
The sample is listed as complete for this saved event: 8 of 8 markets included, with no partial sample flag [1]. The source also notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The saved sample has no separate "Other" market, so its price cannot be read from this snapshot. Volume and trader counts are not provided, so the snapshot cannot indicate liquidity or breadth of agreement.
What remains uncertain
The rules leave several points open. The contract uses "a consensus of credible reporting" as a possible secondary basis if the primary sources are insufficient [1]. Whether a given crew or production link counts will depend on the nominations actually announced, which the snapshot does not show.
No other platform's prices are present in this evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Any price difference between similar contracts elsewhere would need separate wording and close-time checks before it could be compared.
References
- Polymarket: Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia contract asks which film will receive the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards. The Academy Awards, more commonly known as the Oscars, are awards based on artistic and technical merit in film, presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) [3]. The contract is listed in the Culture category and is tied to the 99th ceremony, which the market's rules describe as currently expected to take place in March 2027 [1]. The contract is structured as a set of one-film markets. Each market asks whether a specific film will be the one nominated for the greatest number of Oscars, and each carries a Yes and a No outcome [1]. The saved event includes eight such markets, covering The Odyssey, Dune: Messiah, Wild Horse Nine, Project Hail Mary, The Social Reckoning, Disclosure Day, Wuthering Heights and The Bride! [1]. The application's market sample notes describe which markets were saved for this event, and they do not establish that every possible film is listed. Because the contract concerns nominations rather than wins, it turns on announced nomination counts. The contract does not describe a winner of the best picture award or any other single category.
Historical Context
The 98th Academy Awards ceremony took place on March 15, 2026, at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood, Los Angeles. The Academy presented awards in 24 categories honoring films released in 2025, and Conan O'Brien hosted the show for the second consecutive year [2]. That ceremony is a completed past event. It is background for the 99th ceremony, not a description of the current contract's outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which single film will be connected to the greatest number of Academy Award nominations at the 99th ceremony. Under the market rules, a film counts as nominated if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for work related to that film [1]. This means nominations for individuals other than the lead cast can affect the count. The primary resolution source is official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including its website and the live broadcast, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The rules state that if there is a tie for the greatest number of nominations, the market resolves in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order [1]. If no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other [1]. The listed end time for the event is 2027-07-01T03:59:00.000Z [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as a nomination for a film in this contract?
A film is considered nominated if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film [1]. The count is therefore not limited to nominations for the film itself.
How is a tie resolved?
If two or more films tie for the greatest number of nominations, the market resolves in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order [1].
When would the market resolve to Other?
The rules state that if for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other [1]. The Other outcome is therefore tied to the absence of announced nominations rather than to any particular film's performance.
When is the 99th Academy Awards ceremony expected?
The market describes the ceremony as currently expected to take place in March of 2027 [1]. This is an expectation stated in the contract rules, not a confirmed date from the provider.
Which sources decide the outcome?
The primary resolution source is official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website and the live broadcast of the ceremony. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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