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Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Name: Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
End: 2027-02-28T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$16.70K

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Markets

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Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Vol

$16.70K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $16.70K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $16.70K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	53%
Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	20%
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	19%
Will Disclosure Day get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	13%
Will Wuthering Heights get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	10%
Will The Bride! get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	0%
Will The Social Reckoning get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	0%
Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

53%

Top Probability

$16.70K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nomina

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, July 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 28, 2027 (228 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.

This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nomina

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.

This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of O"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $16.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.6K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.59)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 28, 2027): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will The Bride! get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 28, 2027): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Wuthering Heights get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 28, 2027): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will The Social Reckoning get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 28, 2027): Vol $240
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 28, 2027): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 28, 2027): Vol $281
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Disclosure Day get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 28, 2027): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 28, 2027): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture