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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Vol

PM $456.3K

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Events

1

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Markets

10

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Earbuds/Headphones at 20%.

Polymarket

  1. Earbuds/Headphones20%
  2. Clip-on device for clothing12.5%
  3. Glasses9.5%
  4. Tablet8.1%
  5. Ring6.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $456.3K

Reported volume · provider units

10

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiTech
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

K 158.2K contracts
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Clip-on device for clothing)Yes 7.5%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)Yes 6.5%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Glasses)Yes 5.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

PM $485.4K
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes 24.5%
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Yes 2.6%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

PM $8.0K
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?Yes 18%
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by October 31, 2026?Yes 3.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Who will acquire Pinterest this year?

Who will acquire Pinterest this year?

PM $32.0K · K 259.3K contracts

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

Kalshi: Will OpenAI announce acquisition of Pinterest before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.4%Rules differK Yes 4%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

PM $82.8K · K 15.9K contracts

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 15.5%Rules differK Yes 21.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

PM $919.9K
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes 50.5%
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes 15.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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