
$2.51K
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1 market tracked

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| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
![]() | Poly | 27% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win against Vivo Keyd Stars in the named LoL match in the CBLOL Cup Regular Season, scheduled for January 17 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars" if Vivo Keyd Stars win against LOS in the LoL match. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official
Prediction markets currently price LOS at just 28% to win this Best-of-1 match, implying the market assigns them a low probability of victory. This 28-cent price suggests traders see Vivo Keyd Stars as strong favorites, with roughly a 72% implied chance of winning. The thin trading volume of approximately $2,000 indicates lower confidence in this consensus, as the market lacks significant capital to solidify the price against new information or sentiment shifts.
The odds heavily favor Vivo Keyd Stars due to their established position as a perennial contender in the CBLOL, Brazil's top League of Legends league. Historically, Keyd Stars have consistently outperformed LOS in regular season play and head-to-head matchups. Furthermore, LOS has undergone significant roster changes in the recent offseason, introducing instability and weaker early-season synergy compared to Keyd Stars' more settled lineup. The market is pricing in Keyd Stars' experience and organizational stability as decisive advantages in a volatile single-game format.
A major shift could occur if pre-match scrimmage results or insider reports leak, suggesting LOS's new roster is performing far above expectations. The single-game (BO1) format of the CBLOL Cup Regular Season is inherently high-variance, where one unexpected draft strategy or a standout individual performance could lead to an upset. Any last-minute announcement regarding player illness or a role substitution for Keyd Stars, especially for a key player, would immediately cause the probability for LOS to spike. All odds are subject to change right up until the match begins on January 17.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
$2.51K
1
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This prediction market topic concerns the outcome of a specific professional League of Legends (LoL) match in the Brazilian competitive circuit. The market resolves based on the result of a Best-of-One (BO1) game between the teams LOS and Vivo Keyd Stars, scheduled for January 17 at 2:00 PM ET as part of the CBLOL Cup Regular Season. The CBLOL Cup is a significant tournament within Brazil's LoL Championship of Brazil (CBLOL), serving as a key competitive stage for teams to qualify for the main CBLOL Split and ultimately for international events like the Mid-Season Invitational and World Championship. This match is a direct confrontation between two established organizations in the region, each with distinct histories and fanbases. Interest in this market stems from its function as a speculative instrument on a discrete, high-stakes esports event, appealing to both fans and bettors analyzing team form, roster changes, and strategic matchups. The resolution is tied directly to the official match result, with clear rules for postponements or cancellations, providing a structured environment for prediction.
The rivalry between these organizations is rooted in Brazil's evolving LoL landscape. Vivo Keyd Stars, under its previous Keyd Stars branding, was a dominant force in the early 2010s, winning the inaugural CBLOL split in 2013. The organization has undergone several rebrands and roster rebuilds since. LOS Grandes entered the CBLOL scene more recently but rapidly grew a massive fanbase, creating a classic clash between an established legacy team and a popular newcomer. In the most recent 2023 CBLOL Split 2, both teams finished in the lower half of the regular season standings, with Vivo Keyd Stars placing 7th and LOS placing 8th, missing the playoffs. This history of mid-table struggles adds pressure to their CBLOL Cup performances, as the tournament serves as a fresh start and a direct path to qualification for the 2024 CBLOL Split 1. Their head-to-head record in recent splits is closely contested, often decided by specific draft strategies and individual player performances in the BO1 format.
Beyond the immediate match result, this event matters for the economic and competitive structure of Brazilian esports. A win provides crucial momentum in the CBLOL Cup standings, influencing a team's chances of qualifying for the main CBLOL Split. Qualification carries significant financial implications, including a share of league revenue, sponsor visibility, and potential rewards from Riot Games' international ecosystem. For the players, strong performances in high-stakes matches can define careers, affect transfer market value, and secure spots on national teams for events like the Esports World Cup. Socially, matches between popular teams like LOS and Vivo Keyd Stars drive substantial viewership and community engagement, reinforcing LoL's position as a leading entertainment product in Brazil. The outcome influences fan morale, content creation narratives, and the broader perception of each organization's direction for the upcoming competitive year.
The match is scheduled for January 17, 2025, at 2:00 PM ET as part of the ongoing CBLOL Cup Regular Season. Both teams have finalized their rosters for the 2025 season, with any preseason transfers or coaching changes already implemented. The teams will be coming into this match with their early-season form from initial CBLOL Cup games, which will provide the most immediate indicators of their current strength, strategic direction, and player synergy. All preparations, including scrimmages and strategy development, are focused on this specific BO1 encounter.
The CBLOL Cup is a Brazilian League of Legends tournament that serves as a qualifying event for the main CBLOL Split. Teams compete in a regular season and playoffs format, with top performers earning a spot in the more prestigious and lucrative CBLOL league.
The full roster is typically announced by the organization prior to the tournament. For the most accurate and updated lineup, including the starting five for this match, check the official CBLOL broadcast or LOS's social media channels close to the event date.
The match will be broadcast live on the official CBLOL channels on Twitch and YouTube, primarily in Portuguese. International viewers may also find streams on platforms like Lolesports.com or through various esports broadcasting partners.
According to the market rules, if the game is postponed, the prediction market will remain open and unresolved until the match is officially completed at its rescheduled date. The resolution will then be based on that official result.
A BO1 match is a single game of League of Legends. The team that destroys the opposing team's Nexus first, or forces a surrender, wins the match outright. There is no series of games, making each match decisive and high-pressure.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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