Name: Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z

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Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30? | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	Poly	100%
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	Poly	0%
Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 30, 2026 (14 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in March 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and April 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in March 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and April 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page.

In"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $116.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $26.2K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.46)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $74.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $8.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 30, 2026): Vol $33.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

13d 16h remaining

Apr 30, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/NfoZkx" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?"></iframe>

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Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?

Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?

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Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?

Markets (3)

Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?

Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?

Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?

Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?

Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?

Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?

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Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Highest Domestically Grossing March Film on April 30?

Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?

Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?

Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?

Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?

Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?

Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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