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Event GroupKALSHIElections

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?

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Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?

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Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	36%
Will Troy Jackson be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	22%
Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	22%
Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	13%
Will Sherrod Brown be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	3%
Will Mary Peltola be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	2%
Will Haley Stevens be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	2%
Will Shenna Bellows be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	1%
Will Nirav Shah be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	1%

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on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET If X is the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The resolution will be based on the top fundraiser shown at https://secure.actblue.com/directory on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET. The leftmost shown candidate will be considered the top fundraiser. If the top fundraiser is none of the listed options, all markets will resolve to No.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, July 21, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET

If X is the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The resolution will be based on the top fundraiser shown at https://secure.actblue.com/directory on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET. The leftmost shown candidate will be considered the top fundraiser. If the top fundraiser is none of the listed options, all markets will resolve to No.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Troy Jackson is the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The resolution will be based on the top fundraiser shown at https://secure.actblue.com/directory on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET. The leftmost shown candidate will be considered the t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Troy Jackson be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Sherrod Brown be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Shenna Bellows be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Nirav Shah be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Mary Peltola be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Haley Stevens be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?

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KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.5¢No 64.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

If Jon Ossoff is the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The resolution will be based on the top fundraiser shown at https://secure.actblue.com/directory on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET. The leftmost shown candidate will be considered the top

KALSHI

Will Troy Jackson be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Troy Jackson be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

If Troy Jackson is the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The resolution will be based on the top fundraiser shown at https://secure.actblue.com/directory on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET. The leftmost shown candidate will be considered the t

KALSHI

Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.5¢No 78.5¢

KALSHITech

Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

If James Talarico is the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The resolution will be based on the top fundraiser shown at https://secure.actblue.com/directory on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET. The leftmost shown candidate will be considered the

KALSHI

Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

If Abdul El-Sayed is the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The resolution will be based on the top fundraiser shown at https://secure.actblue.com/directory on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET. The leftmost shown candidate will be considered the

KALSHI

Will Sherrod Brown be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Sherrod Brown be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

If Sherrod Brown is the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The resolution will be based on the top fundraiser shown at https://secure.actblue.com/directory on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET. The leftmost shown candidate will be considered the

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/NlsSp1" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?"></iframe>

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Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?

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Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?

Markets (9)

Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Troy Jackson be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Troy Jackson be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Sherrod Brown be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Sherrod Brown be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

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Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Jul 31, 2026?

Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Jon Ossoff be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Troy Jackson be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Troy Jackson be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will James Talarico be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Abdul El-Sayed be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Sherrod Brown be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will Sherrod Brown be the top ActBlue fundraiser on July 31 at 10:00 AM ET?

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