Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Name: UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)
End: 2026-10-18T03:59:59.999Z

Total Volume

$380.37

Events

Markets

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UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Vol

$380.37

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $380.37

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $380.37

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

19 markets tracked

UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(19)

Market	Platform	Price
UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Poly	64%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	51%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	51%
Will the fight be won by decision?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Poly	51%
Will Louis Jourdain win in Round 1?	Poly	51%
Will Louis Jourdain win in Round 2?	Poly	51%
Will Timmy Cuamba win in Round 2?	Poly	51%
Will Timmy Cuamba win in Round 3?	Poly	51%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will Louis Jourdain win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will Timmy Cuamba win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	50%
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	49%
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Poly	49%
Will Louis Jourdain win in Round 3?	Poly	49%
Will Timmy Cuamba win in Round 1?	Poly	49%
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Poly	49%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

64%

Top Probability

$380.37

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Louis Jourdain" if Louis Jourdain is officially declared the winner of the fight against Timmy Cuamba at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Timmy Cuamba" if Timmy Cuamba is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will b

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 18, 2026 (7 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Louis Jourdain" if Louis Jourdain is officially declared the winner of the fight against Timmy Cuamba at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.

It will resolve to "Timmy Cuamba" if Timmy Cuamba is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will b

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Louis Jourdain" if Louis Jourdain is officially declared the winner of the fight against Timmy Cuamba at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.

It will resolve to "Timmy Cuamba" if Timmy Cuamba is officially declared the winner.

If the fig"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $380
* **Total Liquidity:** $11.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.03)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $380
  DATA: [Louis Jourdain: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [Timmy Cuamba: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Louis Jourdain win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Timmy Cuamba win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the fight be won by decision?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the fight end before Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the fight end before Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Louis Jourdain win in Round 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Louis Jourdain win in Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Louis Jourdain win in Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Timmy Cuamba win in Round 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Timmy Cuamba win in Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Timmy Cuamba win in Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the fight end in a decision or draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Volume$380.37

Markets19

19 of 19

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Fight to Go the Distance?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Louis Jourdain and Timmy Cuamba at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws d

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by decision?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight be won by decision?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Louis Jourdain and Timmy Cuamba at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, is won by decision, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in

POLYMARKET

Will the fight end before Round 3?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight end before Round 3?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Louis Jourdain and Timmy Cuamba at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, officially ends before Round 3 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage,

POLYMARKET

Will Louis Jourdain win in Round 1?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will Louis Jourdain win in Round 1?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Louis Jourdain defeats Timmy Cuamba at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "N

POLYMARKET

Will Louis Jourdain win in Round 2?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will Louis Jourdain win in Round 2?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Louis Jourdain defeats Timmy Cuamba at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 2, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "N

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Oct 18, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

51¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/NpHw5t" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)"></iframe>

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UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)

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UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Markets (19)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will Louis Jourdain win in Round 1?

Will Louis Jourdain win in Round 1?

Will Louis Jourdain win in Round 2?

Will Louis Jourdain win in Round 2?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC Fight Night: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will Louis Jourdain win in Round 1?

Will Louis Jourdain win in Round 1?

Will Louis Jourdain win in Round 2?

Will Louis Jourdain win in Round 2?

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Discussion

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