ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket contract, "ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET," asks whether a price will move up or down over a fixed 15-minute window [1]. According to the excerpt, the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the excerpt states that the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T14:15:00.000Z [1]. The title's 10:00 to 10:15 AM ET window corresponds to that closing time. The listed end time is a contract rule, not a record of when the market closed or resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z and retrieved at 2026-10-31T12:47:32.860Z [1]. The observation came before the contract's listed window, and the market was still listed as active at the time of retrieval. The snapshot therefore reflects prices at 09:00 UTC, not the current state of the market.
The sample contains one market with two outcomes: "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are equal snapshot prices, and the sample is complete for this event (one of one market included, with no partial sample flag) [1]. Because the prices are equal, the snapshot does not indicate which direction the market favored at that moment. Prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they should not be read as a forecast or a tradable price.
No comparison with other platforms is available here. A different platform's contract on a similar asset may use different resolution wording, windows, or close times, so its price should not be compared directly without checking those rules.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the price at the start of the window, the TWAP during the window, or the final outcome. It also does not include trading volume or any explanation for price levels. The snapshot cannot tell a reader how the market has moved since 09:00 UTC. Readers who need the resolved result should check the resolution source and the market's status after the listed end time of 14:15 UTC.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration binary market on the price of ZCash (ZEC) against US dollars, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET" and listed in the Crypto category [1]. It is hosted on Polymarket and is a single-event listing with one market and two outcomes, "Up" and "Down" [1]. The contract's settlement logic is set out in its rules. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules also state that the comparison is made using the Chainlink data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not other sources or spot markets [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-31T14:15:00Z, which is the closing time for this window [1]. The saved observation for this event was taken at 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z, several hours before the window opened, and the event record was retrieved at 2026-10-31T12:47:32.917Z [1]. The observation and retrieval times are therefore not the same as the closing time, and the contract had not closed when the record was retrieved. The source excerpt lists the provider status as active [1]. No resolution outcome appears in the supplied material.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over a fifteen-minute window ends at or above its starting level. Because the rule compares the average over the window with the price at the window's start, the outcome depends on the data stream's TWAP rather than a single closing print [1]. Traders following the contract therefore need to read the stated data source, not general market prices, to understand what will decide the result [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What decides whether this market resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which price data is used for settlement?
The rules specify the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does this contract close?
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T14:15:00Z, which matches the 10:15AM ET end of the window in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
