Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Next Mayor of Prague

Name: Next Mayor of Prague
End: 2026-10-10T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$51.26K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next Mayor of Prague

Vol

$51.26K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $51.26K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $51.26K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Poly	94%
Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?	Poly	5%
Will Adam Scheinherr be the next Mayor of Prague?	Poly	2%
Will Jan Hušbauer be the next Mayor of Prague?	Poly	0%
Will Tereza Nislerová be the next Mayor of Prague?	Poly	0%
Will Jana Komrsková be the next Mayor of Prague?	Poly	0%
Will Václav Láska be the next Mayor of Prague?	Poly	0%
Will Klára Sovová be the next Mayor of Prague?	Poly	0%
Will Milan Urban be the next Mayor of Prague?	Poly	0%
Will Bohuslav Svoboda be the next Mayor of Prague?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$51.26K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in Czechia on October 9-10, 2026. The next mayor of Prague will be elected by the newly constituted council following the 2026 Czech municipal elections. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Prague following the 2026 Czech municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the city council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Mayor of Prague
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 10, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in Czechia on October 9-10, 2026. The next mayor of Prague will be elected by the newly constituted council following the 2026 Czech municipal elections.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Prague following the 2026 Czech municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the city council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in Czechia on October 9-10, 2026. The next mayor of Prague will be elected by the newly constituted council following the 2026 Czech municipal elections.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $51.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $136.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.38)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $19.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Jan Hušbauer be the next Mayor of Prague?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $6.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Adam Scheinherr be the next Mayor of Prague?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $12.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Tereza Nislerová be the next Mayor of Prague?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jana Komrsková be the next Mayor of Prague?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $681
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Václav Láska be the next Mayor of Prague?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Klára Sovová be the next Mayor of Prague?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Milan Urban be the next Mayor of Prague?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $695
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Bohuslav Svoboda be the next Mayor of Prague?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $586
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics